Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?
$83,006median
$72,000$96,000
Median $83,006Middle half $82,473 – $83,539
Install
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
The odds
50%Chainlink (LINK)
- Chainlink (LINK)50%▼ 2
- Bitcoin (BTC)41%▼ 5
- Stellar Lumens (XLM)40%▼ 1
- Ethereum (ETH)28%▼ 4
- Solana (SOL)26%▼ 3
- Ripple (XRP)12%▼ 1
- Shiba Inu (SHIB)11%▲ 2
- Litecoin (LTC)10%▼ 7
- Dogecoin (DOGE)9%▼ 35
- Polkadot (DOT)9%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Chainlink (LINK): 48% on Oct 20, 50% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chainlink (LINK) | 50% | ▼ 2 | 48¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 78.3K |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | 41% | ▼ 5 | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 180.8K |
| Stellar Lumens (XLM) | 40% | ▼ 1 | 38¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 56.2K |
| Ethereum (ETH) | 28% | ▼ 4 | 25¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 85.2K |
| Solana (SOL) | 26% | ▼ 3 | 24¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 91.6K |
| Ripple (XRP) | 12% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 152.3K |
| Shiba Inu (SHIB) | 11% | ▲ 2 | 10¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 31.9K |
| Litecoin (LTC) | 10% | ▼ 7 | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 21.9K |
| Dogecoin (DOGE) | 9% | ▼ 35 | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 42.5K |
| Polkadot (DOT) | 9% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 29.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All crypto ›Ethereum above ___ on October 20?
$2,451median
$1,900$3,100
Median $2,451Middle half $2,425 – $2,478
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$86,573high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $86,573.
- Reaches $82,50091%
- Reaches $85,00070%
- Falls to $80,00048%
- Falls to $77,50024%
Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
$92,159high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $92,159.
- Reaches $90,00060%
- Reaches $95,00038%
- Falls to $70,00034%
- Falls to $65,00022%
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$38.33Mmedian
$0.0000$550M
Median $38.33M
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
$83,241median
$70,000$94,000
Median $83,241Middle half $82,315 – $84,361
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.