CoreWeave power capacity in Q3 (contracted power capacity in Q3 2026)
4.33median
3.605
Median 4.33Middle half 4.21 – 4.52
Install
CoreWeave data centers in Q3 (data centers in Q3 2026)
The odds
55.6median
5265
Median 55.6Middle half 54.1 – 57.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.6 on Oct 20, 55.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 53 | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| Above 54 | 78% | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 281 | |
| Above 55 | 59% | 55¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 689 | |
| Above 56 | 45% | 41¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 824 | |
| Above 57 | 26% | 22¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 405 | |
| Above 58 | 20% | 16¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 205 | |
| Above 59 | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 442 | |
| Above 60 | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| Above 61 | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| Above 62 | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| Above 63 | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Above 64 | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CoreWeave
Search ›-
Why CoreWeave is in the crosshairs of the AI selloffCoreWeave is facing a crisis of confidence on Wall Street that's playing out in real time among equity and bond investors. With interest rates spiking and AI build-out concerns mounting, debt-heavy neoclouds like CoreWeave are being viewed… -
-
Blackstone's Jon Gray says CoreWeave can 'find a way through' financing pressureCoreWeave has been battered over concerns about its massive debt, but Blackstone chief operating officer Jon Gray believes the so-called neocloud company will weather the storm. Right now, CoreWeave and its neocloud peers are facing… -
Here are Thursday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Tesla, SpaceX, Meta, CoreWeave, IBM, Block & moreHere are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street. -
CoreWeave shares tumble as debt fears hit AI infrastructureThe neocloud's stock and bonds sold off together, putting debt-funded AI buildouts under a harsh spotlight CoreWeave just had the kind of week that makes growth investors reach for antacids. Shares of the GPU cloud provider fell more than… -
AI neocloud stocks sink as CoreWeave debt fears spread to equitiesCoreWeave's market value has fallen to about $31 billion from a near-$90 billion peak, while Nebius dropped 29% and IREN lost 46% in October as Gartner warned most neoclouds may not survive to 2030. CoreWeave has lost almost two-thirds of… -
CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) Stock Falls 2.4% on Analyst DowngradePosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 24th, 2026 Get Our Latest Analysis on CRWV The business has a 50-day moving average price of $82.95 and a 200-day moving average price of $93.76. The firm has a market capitalization of $24.89 billion… -
CoreWeave’s market confidence erodes as bond yields spike and stock sinksCoreWeave is facing a crisis of confidence on Wall Street that's playing out in real time among equity and bond investors. With interest rates spiking and AI buildout concerns mounting, debt-heavy neoclouds like CoreWeave are being viewed… -
Nvidia’s $500B AI financing faces pressure as CoreWeave shows financial strainEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
SpaceX AI growth puts Nvidia and CoreWeave stocks in focus as demand for computing power risesSpaceX reported strong third-quarter results on October 20, with its artificial intelligence (AI) business showing major growth. The company’s AI segment, called Super Intelligence (SI), was a key highlight of its latest results. SpaceX’s… -
CoreWeave: Backlog Alone Isn't EnoughCoreWeave is at a critical juncture, with a massive $129.2B backlog but severe funding constraints threatening its growth trajectory. Click for more on CRWV. - CoreWeave, Inc. is at a critical juncture, with a massive $129.2B backlog but… -
CoreWeave stock falls 30% amid refinancing concerns in AI sectorEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
Related markets
All companies ›Largest Company end of October 2026?
65%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA65%▲ 2
- Apple34%▼ 3
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 1
- November 3099%▲ 1
- December 3199%▲ 14
Largest Company end of December 2026?
63%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA63%▲ 4
- Apple35%▼ 3
- Alphabet1%
5 more
- Microsoft1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Walmart Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
99.3median
92112
Median 99.3Middle half 97.1 – 101.8
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%
- December 31>99%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions