María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 90
- December 3199%▲ 67
Install
Will the US ban crude oil exports? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 32.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: oil prices, crude oil, OPEC
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Fed policy, Q2 earnings, crude oil prices among key market triggers next weekStock market investors will closely track the US Federal Reserve's policy decision Mumbai: Stock market investors will closely track the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, a packed corporate earnings calendar, crude oil price movements… -
FPIs withdraw ₹48,056 cr from equities in October so far amid elevated crude oil pricesPublished - October 25, 2026 01:56 pm IST - New Delhi Foreign investors have withdrawn ₹48,056 crore from Indian equities in October so far, amid elevated crude oil prices, escalating West Asia tensions, concerns over inflation and weak… -
FPI selling stands at Rs 53,337 crore in Oct so far amid elevated crude oil pricesForeign portfolio investors sold Rs 53,337 crore worth of Indian equities in October so far as elevated crude oil prices, market weakness and economic pressures weighed on investor sentiment. FPI selling stands at Rs 53,337 crore in Oct so… -
FPIs withdraw Rs 48,056 cr from equities in Oct so far amid elevated crude oil pricesForeign investors withdrew significant funds from Indian equities in October amid concerns over inflation and crude oil prices. Despite this, there were signs of moderation in selling with two days of net buying. The overall FPI outflows… -
Benchmark indices snap two-week winning streak amid rising crude oil pricesMumbai: Benchmark domestic indices snapped their two-week rising streak dragged by higher crude oil prices due to escalating West Asia conflict. During the holiday-shortened week, the 30-share Sensex at the Bombay Stock Exchange declined 1… -
Crude Oil Prices Near $120 Amid West Asia Tensions, US Fed Rate Decision & Supply Risks In FocusNew Delhi: Global crude oil prices are approaching the USD 120 per barrel mark as escalating tensions in West Asia and the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy decision keep energy markets on edge. Analysts expect another volatile week amid… -
Global crude oil prices hit six-month high on Middle East conflict, fears of US strikes on IranSaturday October 24, 2026 Global crude oil prices surged to a six-month high as investor anxieties mounted over potential US military strikes against Iran in the coming weeks alongside escalating regional conflict in the Middle East. Brent… -
Crude oil price forecast as Brent hits $117 amid US-Iran war fearsBuy Brent exposure (e.g., Brent crude futures or an ETF like BNO). The article points to a likely escalation targeting Iran’s oil export lifeline (Kharg Island) plus Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption—classic supply shock drivers… -
Trump's Iran showdown rattles Wall Street as oil prices spikeFox Business Trump's Iran showdown rattles Wall Street as oil prices spike President Donald Trump rules out Iran negotiations as stocks fall, oil prices surge and Wall Street weighs growing Middle East tensions. Rising crude oil prices and… -
Rupee Rises 3 Paise To 94.78 Against US Dollar In Early Trade, High Crude Oil Prices And FII Outflows Limit GainsMumbai: The Indian rupee appreciated marginally by 3 paise to 94.78 against the US dollar in early trade on Friday, October 23, as the domestic currency remained under pressure from elevated crude oil prices and continued foreign… - Goldman Sachs Says Refiners See 'High Probability' Of Sharp Oil Supply Drop As Houthi Attacks Escalate — Crude Oil Prices Hit 6-Month HighCrude oil prices have climbed to a six-month high as escalating attacks and rising tensions in the Middle East add to concerns about energy supply disruptions. The latest escalation comes as fighting involving the Iran-aligned Houthis and…
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Rubio turns to small Indian town as US faces high oil pricesThe western Indian port town of Jamnagar is not a usual stop for foreign leaders, yet it featured prominently in US Secretary of State Marco Rubio's recent visit. So, why did Rubio visit the town? And, more importantly, why did he skip the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions