Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 1
- November 3099%▲ 1
- December 3199%▲ 14
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Costco Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
The odds
98.3median
92112
Median 98.3Middle half 96.6 – 99.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 99.0 on Oct 20, 98.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 94 | 96% | 94¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 1.2K | |
| Above 96 | 83% | 65¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 898 | |
| Above 97 | 71% | ▼ 1 | 69¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 581 |
| Above 98 | 55% | 54¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 103 | |
| Above 99 | 40% | 39¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 124 | |
| Above 100 | 16% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 569 |
| Above 101 | 16% | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 317 | |
| Above 102 | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 427 | |
| Above 104 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 206 | |
| Above 106 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | ||
| Above 108 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | ||
| Above 110 | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Costco Credit Card Spend
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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6 more
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Largest Company end of December 2026?
64%NVIDIA
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Walmart Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
99.4median
92112
Median 99.4Middle half 97 – 102.1
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>99%October 31
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United Airlines Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
106.7median
91117
Median 106.7Middle half 105.0 – 109.7
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions