Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
99%chance
Install
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
The odds
8%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 8% on Oct 20, 8% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 40.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Constitutional Amendment
Search ›-
KEELY MILLS: 3 constitutional amendments on Georgia’s ballotPublished 9:42 am Tuesday, October 20, 2026 By Keely Mills, Georgia Public Policy Foundation While the U.S. Constitution is well known, not everyone realizes that each state has its own constitution, which is the supreme governing law of… -
ALGON adopts constitutional amendments, reviews local...The Association of Local Governments of Nigeria (ALGON) has adopted constitutional amendments and approved its annual budgets at its 2026 General Assembly in Abuja. The assembly, held on Thursday, was presided over by the association’s… -
Early voting begins TODAY, Voters to consider 10 Constitutional Amendments – Guide AttachedEarly voting for the Nov. 3, 2026, election begins Tuesday, Oct. 20, with voters deciding several federal, state and local races along with 10 proposed amendments to the Louisiana Constitution. Early voting will take place from 8:30 a.m… -
Florida voters to decide on three constitutional amendments in midterm electionAction News Jax Action News Jax Now Action News Jax Weather 24/7 Action Sports Jax 24/7 Action News Jax 24/7 News 2 years since dock collapse 6-year-old recovering after shooting on I-10 in Baker County Jacksonville Housing Authority shuts… -
Vote No On Constitutional Amendment Question 2The November ballot will contain a proposal that could ultimately result in an increase in property taxes. Constitutional Amendment Question 2 would allow the counties to use tax increment financing to pay for community development in… -
Alabama has 4 constitutional amendments on the ballot in November. Here's what they're aboutAlabama voters will decide on four proposed constitutional amendments in next month’s general election. The measures range from controversial to more perfunctory. WBHM’s Richard Banks spoke with Alabama Reflector editor Brian Lyman for an… - On your Ballot: Constitutional Amendment 6MONROE, La. (KNOE) - A proposed constitutional amendment would allow local governments to extend property tax exemptions for homes owned by those 65 and older who qualify. ULM Political Science professor Pearson Cross says this could be a…
-
Brazil: Senate approves constitutional amendment to reduce the working week to five days from six without a salary cutBusiness and Human Rights Centre Brazil: Senate approves constitutional amendment to reduce the working week to five days from six without a salary cut Brazil's Senate has approved a constitutional amendment to reduce the working week to… -
Nov. 3 ballot includes 3 constitutional amendment questionsVoters will be asked to weigh in three constitutional amendment questions on Nov. 3. Wisconsin voters will see three referendums on the ballot when they go to the polls on Nov. 3, all asking to amend the state constitution. In order to… -
Brazil Ends Long Tradition of 6-Day Workweek via Constitutional AmendmentWith Brazil’s senate voting 75 to 1 in favor, one wonders what took them so long? The nation was one of the richest in the world that still had a customary 6-day workweek, with fulltime employment considered 44 hours, rather than the 40 we… -
Stephanie Grace: Constitutional amendment fatigue is real — and entirely understandableGov. Jeff Landry was definitely not on the same page as most Louisiana voters back in the spring of 2025, when they decisively rejected his call to pass four constitutional amendments, including a massive overhaul of the section dealing… -
What are the three proposed constitutional amendments in Florida?By: Abe Aboraya | Oviedo Community News This story is part of the News Collaborative of Central Florida, a group of independent local news outlets working toward a more informed and engaged Central Florida. Voters getting a ballot for the…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance▼ 1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3%chance▲ 1
Next Press Secretary?
26%Anna Kelly
- Anna Kelly26%▲ 4
- Margo Martin9%▲ 6
- Elizabeth Pipko5%▼ 2
28 more
- Lara Trump5%▲ 3
- Maria Bartiromo5%
- Scott Jennings5%▼ 4
- Beni Rae Harmony4%▼ 1
- Natalie Harp3%
- Kayleigh McEnany3%▼ 2
- Harrison Fields3%
- Katie Miller3%▼ 1
- Katie Pavlich2%
- Laura Loomer2%
- Taylor Rogers2%
- Tricia McLaughlin2%
- Karoline Leavitt2%
- Steven Cheung2%▼ 1
- Lauren Bis1%▼ 1
- Liz Huston1%
- Alina Habba1%▼ 1
- Monica Crowley1%▼ 3
- Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
- Kari Lake1%
- Hogan Gidley1%
- Kush Desai<1%
- Pat Adams<1%
- Kaelan Dorr<1%
- Ari Fleischer<1%
- Matthew Boyle<1%
- Spencer Pratt<1%
- Jake Paul<1%
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
33%December 31
- October 319%▼ 9
- December 3133%▼ 10
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
27%Anna Kelly
- Anna Kelly27%▲ 2
- Scott Jennings7%▼ 2
- Kari Lake4%▲ 2
57 more
- Elizabeth Pipko4%▼ 1
- Danielle Alvarez3%
- Margo Martin3%
- Maria Bartiromo3%
- Alina Habba2%
- No new person2%
- Roma Daravi2%
- Laura Loomer2%▲ 1
- Katie Miller2%
- Tricia McLaughlin2%
- Harrison Fields2%
- Ben Ferguson2%▲ 1
- Beni Rae Harmony2%
- Jason Miller1%▲ 1
- Steven Cheung1%▼ 1
- Sage Steele1%
- Tucker Carlson1%
- Liz Huston1%
- Natalie Harp1%
- Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
- Spencer Pratt1%
- Lara Trump1%
- Jayme Franklin1%
- Erika Kirk1%
- Matthew Boyle1%
- Taylor Budowich1%
- Monica Crowley1%
- Kush Desai1%
- Ari Fleischer1%
- Benny Johnson1%
- Matt Walsh1%
- Ben Shapiro1%
- Jack Posobiec1%
- Mike Cernovich1%
- Dan Bongino1%
- Kayleigh McEnany1%
- Taylor Rogers1%
- Hogan Gidley1%
- Katie Pavlich1%
- Lauren Bis1%
- Pat Adams1%
- Kaelan Dorr1%
- Vanessa Broussard1%
- Cara Castronuova1%
- Mark Levin1%
- Logan Paul1%
- Jake Paul1%
- Eric Daugherty1%
- Erin Elmore Scavino1%
- Tulsi Gabbard1%
- Peter Doocy1%
- Sean Spicer1%
- Karoline Leavitt1%▼ 1
- Marco Rubio1%
- Kat Timpf1%
- Kaylee McGhee White1%
- George Santos1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.