María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts) (for fiscal year 2026)
The odds
$8.21Mmedian
$-3M$8B
Median $8.21MMiddle half $3.97M – $113.33M
How the odds have moved
Median: $8.27M on Oct 20, $8.21M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $1M | 98% | ▲ 1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.2K |
| Above $5M | 67% | 63¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | ||
| Above $10M | 41% | 37¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 113 | |
| Above $50M | 30% | 26¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 214 | |
| Above $100M | 26% | 22¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 6.7K | |
| Above $500M | 11% | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.00 | |
| Above $1B | 8% | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 3.2K | |
| Above $2B | 7% | 3¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 2.8K | |
| Above $4B | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 2.7K | |
| Above $6B | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: gold prices, gold, FY2026 Commerce Department
Search ›-
GoldBod revises gold price announcement times until March 2027Goldbod CEO Sammy Gyamfi The Ghana Gold Board (GoldBod) is moving its daily local gold price announcements one hour later from Monday, October 26, 2026, following a change in the time difference between Ghana and the United Kingdom. The… -
GoldBod revises gold price announcement schedule until March 2027The Ghana Gold Board (GoldBod) has announced new times for releasing local gold prices, with the changes taking effect from Monday, October 26, 2026, to Saturday, March 27, 2027. - You are only allowed to submit content which you have… -
Gold prices decline by Rs 2,500 per tolaISLAMABAD : Gold prices witnessed a decline in the domestic market on Saturday, with the price of 24-karat gold per tola falling by Rs2,500 to Rs422,036, according to rates issued by the All Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association… -
Gold prices today (October 25): Continuing decline, SJC gold rings fall below 140 million VND/ounce.Gold prices today (October 25): In the domestic market, the price of gold bars and gold rings continues to fall across most brands; world gold prices have lost the $4,000/ounce mark. Domestic gold bar prices today SJC, Bao Tin Manh Hai… - Gold Price in RaipurGold Rate Today In Raipur, Check Live 22 And 24 Carat Gold Price NDTV Profit Gold Price in Raipur Updated on 23 October 2026 Gold Price Comparison (24K vs 22K) in Raipur Calculate Gold Prices in your City Know About Gold Prices in Raipur…
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Gold Price Exclusive Update - October 24, 2026Our proprietary cycle indicator is DOWN. To public readers of our updates, our cycle indicator is one of the most effective timing tool for traders and investors. It is not perfect, because periodically the market can be more volatile and… -
Gold price outlook: Can bulls survive the death cross and oil surge?Buy United States Oil Fund (USO). The news is a direct tailwind: Brent ~$117 and WTI ~$103, with diesel at all-time highs and sanctions easing not stopping the move. Higher oil feeds inflation, which the Fed is unlikely to cut… -
Gold prices jump from ₹432 to ₹1.42 lakh in 50 years: Should you sell inherited gold jewellery, exchange it or keep it?Gold prices have risen sharply over the years, making inherited jewellery worth revisiting. A necklace passed down by a parent or a pair of old bangles may hold both financial and sentimental value. But should you sell the jewellery at… -
Undervalued? West Wits Mining: Bank-Backed, Pouring Gold, Priced Below PeersWest Wits Mining (ASX:WWI) is pouring gold at Qala Shallows and is funded to 70,000oz p.a., yet trades near A$21/oz in the ground versus A$44-118 for peers. Deysel stresses that the cost base is not theoretical. He told Crux Investor that… -
Today’s Gold Rate in India October 24: Gold prices up in Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, BengaluruGold prices rose across most metro cities today compared to yesterday. Below is a detailed breakdown of gold prices in these cities. Gold rates in India: Gold prices in India today were ₹13,150 for 1 gram of 22-carat gold (up by ₹10) and… - Today’s Gold Rate in India October 24: Gold prices up in Coimbatore, Nagpur, Visakhapatnam, Surat, JaipurGold prices rose across most other cities today compared to yesterday. Below is a detailed breakdown of gold prices in these cities. Gold rates in India: Gold prices in India today were ₹13,150 for 1 gram of 22-carat gold (up by ₹10) and…
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Gold price on October 23, 2026: Check prices for major citiesBhubaneswar: Gold prices in Bhubaneswar and Cuttack fell by Rs 10 from yesterday’s Rs 1,42,480 per gram to Rs 1,42,470 per gram for 24-carat gold. The price of 22-carat gold was Rs 1,30,600, and today it is Rs 1,30,590. Silver price in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions