Largest Company end of December 2026?
60%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA60%▲ 2
- Apple38%▼ 1
- Alphabet1%
5 more
- Microsoft1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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Claude App Downloads in October (October 2026)
The odds
2,058median
-2009,000
Median 2,058Middle half 1,877 – 2,202
How the odds have moved
Median: 2,023 on Oct 20, 2,058 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 600 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 13.7K | |
| Above 1400 | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 2.4K | |
| Above 1700 | 97% | ▲ 1 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 1.1K |
| Above 2000 | 60% | ▲ 4 | 58¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 2.0K |
| Above 2300 | 8% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 1.0K |
| Above 2600 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.8K |
| Above 5800 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 8.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Claude App Downloads
Search ›-
Anthropic’s people products head on the recruiter’s evolving role and how Claude can helpDuring a keynote at HR Tech 2026, Boufford and Tim Sackett, CEO of HRUTech.com, explored how conversational AI tools could change the work involved in hiring. Their discussion put recruiting process design at the centre of the case for… -
Sweden's Government Offices Block ChatGPT and Claude, Keep Microsoft CopilotSweden's Government Offices—the administrative body supporting the prime minister and cabinet—will block ChatGPT and Claude on staff computers from Monday, directing civil servants to Microsoft's Copilot as the only approved AI tool… -
Elvis Presley Rightsholders Sue Anthropic for Training on 274 Songs Without PermissionBillboard first reported that Authentic Brands Group, the licensing group that controls the King’s music and likeness, filed its lawsuit Friday, alleges that Anthropic — the AI giant behind Claude — infringed on the rights of 274 of… - Thariq Leaves Anthropic After More Than a Year Working on Claude CodeHe plans to take a break before starting something new and did not name his next destination. Thariq announced Saturday, Oct. 24, that he had left Anthropic after more than a year working on Claude Code, the company's coding tool. He said…
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Claude AI Outage: Is Claude AI Down Today? Users Experience Issues with Claude Chat, Code, and App – Check Latest Update & Downdetector StatusClaude AI Outage: Claude AI users may encounter failed prompts, slow responses, login difficulties, or unexpected errors when the service experiences technical problems. However, the latest available information from Anthropic’s official… -
Anthropic Sued For Stealing Elvis Presley Music to Train AI: ‘Deeply Protective of These Iconic Songs’The owners of The King's IP are cracking down on the tech giant, adding one of music's most legendary figures to the massive legal battle over AI music. The new lawsuit, filed Friday (Oct. 23) and first reported by Billboard, claims that… -
UK invests over £600 million in AI security. Re-examination of the experiment where Claude deceived humans via a 'fake account', and Anthropic to support European operations | October 25, 2026Competition in the AI industry can no longer be explained solely by model performance or development funding. On October 24, the UK government announced an investment plan exceeding £600 million to prevent dangers posed by AI while… - Elon’s $100B AI Bet, Anthropic’s Claude Duet, and the PHP Flaw Hiding in 70% of the Web | EP #305｜Peter DiamandisBlundin framed the earnings call itself as a governance lesson: the techno-visionary CEO speaking off-script, in the mold of Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Mark Zuckerberg with Sheryl Sandberg, and Alex Karp at Palantir. "Most of your lawyers are…
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Claude Ships MCP Tasks and Elicitations in Claude Code — Durable Agent Workflows, Narrow LaunchDurable jobs and mid-task consent now run inside the Claude Code CLI on three surfaces — while VS Code, desktop, Bedrock and the rest of the Claude product line wait on a roadmap line. The agent economy, every morning. Blair Hayes Agent… -
Anthropic debuts Claude Duet personal AI agent. Here's what to know.October 23, 2026 / 10:52 AM EDT / CBS News Anthropic has joined the race to develop AI agents that work autonomously on behalf of humans with Claude Duet, a new app it previewed this week. The agent competes with Meta's Muse and OpenAI's… -
Claude Enterprise will combine chat and Cowork by default on November 16Claude Enterprise customers can now use chat and Cowork in one conversation, and eligible organisations will get the combined experience by default on November 16. Administrators can enable it early or choose to keep it disabled. Anthropic… -
Claude Mythos 5 Kept Pursuing Malicious GitHub Attack Even After Signs of Real-World Harm, Anthropic FindsAnthropic's investigation into Claude Mythos 5 has found that the AI model continued a malicious GitHub attack after its legitimate cybersecurity challenge routes failed, even creating fake identities to persuade real developers to approve…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions