When will Anthropic release Mythos?
12%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Nov 1, 20261%
- Before Dec 1, 20265%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202712%▼ 1
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When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
The odds
14%Before Dec 1, 2026
- Before Nov 1, 20264%
- Before Nov 16, 202610%
- Before Dec 1, 202614%
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 1, 2026: 7% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 4% | $25.00 | 13.3K | |||
| Before Sep 16, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 7.5K | |||
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 3% | $33.33 | 3.4K | |||
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 2% | $50.00 | 13.9K | |||
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 21.4K | |
| Before Nov 16, 2026 | 10% | 7¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 6.00 | |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 34.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Opus
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Anthropic debuts Claude Duet personal AI agent. Here's what to know.October 23, 2026 / 10:52 AM EDT / CBS News Anthropic has joined the race to develop AI agents that work autonomously on behalf of humans with Claude Duet, a new app it previewed this week. The agent competes with Meta's Muse and OpenAI's… -
Chinese AI model Kimi K3.1 Pro is closing in on Anthropic's Claude Opus 5.5Moonshot AI's new reasoning model Kimi K3.1 Pro lands at number four on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, just 3 points behind the top proprietary models. Chinese AI company Moonshot AI has released Kimi K3.1 Pro, a post-trained… -
Claude Duet app is Anthropic's bet on agentsBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. The AI world is flooded with personal and productivity-based assistants, with new ones launching every week. Now, Anthropic is entering this battle in the hopes of gaining… -
Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5.5 tops AI index with 61.7 scoreEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Anthropic Launches Claude Duet AI Agent Powered by Claude Opus 5.5Anthropic has announced Claude Duet, a new AI agent built on Claude Opus 5.5 that competes with Meta's Muse and OpenAI's Dots, offering workflow automation for professionals. The landscape of autonomous workflow automation is shifting… -
Where Claude Haiku falls behind Opus: 163 coding runs with hidden testsMost "which model should I use for coding" advice is a guess. I wanted a line: the point where the cheap model (Claude Haiku 5.5) starts falling behind and you should pay for Sonnet or Opus. So I ran 163 headless coding runs on one Windows… -
Anthropic's Claude 5.5 family: Opus, Sonnet and Haiku releasedAnthropic's announcements page records three model releases in the Claude 5.5 line, issued within a few weeks of each other in late September and early October 2026. Claude Opus 5.5 (Sep 22, 2026). Anthropic says it leads in agentic coding… -
Claude Opus 5.5 vs Sonnet 5.5 for coding agents: is Opus worth it?Originally published on the QuickSilver Pro blog. Claude Opus 5.5 costs $1.00 / $5.00 per million tokens on QuickSilver Pro, against $0.50 / $2.50 for Claude Sonnet 5.5. The question for anyone running a coding agent is whether Opus buys… -
Anthropic takes on Muse with Claude Duet, its new AI agentAnthropic just announced an AI agent competitor to Meta's Muse and OpenAI's Dots: Claude Duet. The new agent, designed for professionals and small business owners, is launching as a "research preview," according to Anthropic, and it's… -
Claude Haiku vs Opus on 25 real bugs: 52 vs 54 clean fixes, 95% cheaperLast week I measured where Claude Haiku 5.5 falls behind Opus. The answer was one hard bug in the marked parser, where Sonnet and Opus caught an edge case the bug report left out and Haiku mostly did not. One bug is thin evidence, so this… -
Kimi K3.1 Pro API Pricing: Half of Claude Opus 5.5, Same as Sonnet 5.5Moonshot AI released Kimi K3.1 Pro at $2 per 1M input tokens and $10 per 1M output tokens. That matches Claude Sonnet 5.5 and cuts Claude Opus 5.5 pricing in half. For long prompts without tiered pricing penalties, Kimi K3.1 Pro provides… -
Claude Haiku vs Sonnet vs Opus on 25 real bugs: 225 runs scored by the maintainers' testsTokenSave Data · Dataset Measured 2026-10-24 · 225 runs · 25 bugs · 13 projects · Claude Code 2.1.295 · License CC BY 4.0 DOI 10.5281/zenodo.23619927 · Also on Hugging Face · Kaggle · GitHub Target cases = the maintainers’ tests for the…
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All ai ›When will Anthropic release Claude 6? (Claude 6+ (any family))
Mar 28, 2027even chance by
- Before Dec 31, 202625%
- Before Mar 31, 202751%
- Before Jun 30, 202766%
2 more
- Before Sep 30, 202782%
- Before Dec 31, 202790%
Google market share this week (Google market share - Oct 19, 2026)
20.01%median
15.2%22.8%
Median 20.01%Middle half 19.89% – 20.32%
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
Nov 13, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202614%▼ 2
- December 31, 202756%▼ 4
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
90%Google
- Google90%▼ 2
- Anthropic8%▲ 2
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
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