2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
75%Javokhir Sindarov
- Javokhir Sindarov75%▲ 2
- Gukesh Dommaraju25%▼ 1
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FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
The odds
70%Javokhir Sindarov
- Javokhir Sindarov70%
- Gukesh Dommaraju28%
- Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa<1%
- Fabiano Caruana<1%
- Andrey Esipenko<1%
- Hikaru Nakamura<1%
- Wei Yi<1%
- Anish Giri<1%
- Matthias Bluebaum<1%
How the odds have moved
Javokhir Sindarov: 71% on Oct 20, 70% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javokhir Sindarov | 70% | 70¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 306.3K | |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 28% | 28¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 267.1K | |
| Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 145.6K | ||
| Fabiano Caruana | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 237.8K | ||
| Andrey Esipenko | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 135.4K | ||
| Hikaru Nakamura | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 830.9K | ||
| Wei Yi | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 54.3K | ||
| Anish Giri | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 258.5K | ||
| Matthias Bluebaum | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 52.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 WinnerJavokhir SindarovKalshi 70%Polymarket 75%5 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: FIDE World Chess, Javokhir Sindarov, Gukesh Dommaraju
Search ›-
Who Is Bodhana Sivanandan? 11-Year-Old Indian-Origin Chess Prodigy Breaks Judit Polgar’s 38-Year-Old Record11-year-old Indian-origin British chess prodigy Bodhana Sivanandan became the youngest female International Master, breaking Judit Polgar’s 38-year-old record. She secured her third IM norm at the European Club Cup in Montenegro The… -
Bodhana, 11, Breaks Judit Polgar’s Record To Become Youngest Female IM In HistoryThe extraordinary FM Bodhana Sivanandan has done it again. On Friday, the 11-year-old prodigy achieved yet another record, becoming the youngest girl ever to complete the requirements for the International Master title, securing her third… -
Who is Bodhana Sivanandan? 11-year-old becomes youngest female International Master, breaking Judit Polgar’s recordAn 11-year-old Indian-origin British chess prodigy from Harrow in north London has rewritten the history books. Bodhana Sivanandan has become the youngest female International Master (IM) in chess history, breaking a long-standing record… -
Wesley So Wins 4th U.S. Chess ChampionshipAs covered in the previous report, WIM Rachael Li won the 2026 U.S. Women's Chess Championship in round 11 without any playoffs. The next world-class event at the Saint Louis Chess Club is the 2026 Clutch Chess Champions Showdown featuring… -
"Thalaivar Gang": World Champion Gukesh Watches Jailer 2 with Praggnanandhaa and VaishaliOne month before he defends his world title, Gukesh took a break for a movie night with friends. Is Praggnanandhaa quietly helping him behind the scenes? World Chess Champion D Gukesh went to the cinema with friends ahead of the biggest… -
Turkmenistan Pushes to Develop Chess TalentTurkmenistan Chess Federation Cup in Ashgabat in 2024; image: FIDE Turkmenistan is hosting a national chess tournament this month amid signs that efforts to develop young chess players are gaining momentum. The Turkmenistan Chess… -
Youngest grandmasters in history: 6 chess prodigies who earned the title at just 12 years oldChess is a game which demands patience, concentration, strategic thinking and rapid decision making. Some emerging players are making great progress before they even turn 17 but there are others who have been playing for years to reach the… -
Who Will NOT Be Gukesh and Sindarov’s Seconds?The World Championship match between Gukesh and Sindarov is getting closer, and everyone wants to know who their seconds will be. But what if we turn the question around and ask who won't be on their teams? We have a few names in mind, and… - Where chess meets its fans: Join side activities of the Salesforce FIDE World Championship MatchThe Salesforce FIDE World Championship Match 2026, taking place in Geneva from 22 November to 12 December, is the most important chess event of the year. Reigning World Champion Gukesh Dommaraju and challenger Javokhir Sindarov will battle…
- Total Chess proposes unified rating systemFIDE Grand Swiss 2025 with analyses by Giri, Blübaum and many others. Opening videos by Kasimdzhanov, Sokolov and Blohberger. Training columns including ‘The Fortress’, ‘The Trap’, ‘Fundamental Endgame Knowledge’ and much more Importantly…
- The hour of the secondsA World Championship match will be held again this year. From 24 November to 12 December, defending champion Gukesh Dommaraju (20, India) and his challenger Javokhir Sindarov (21, Uzbekistan) will face each other in a 14-game match to…
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One Chess Rating to Rule Them All—But Haven't We Been Here Before?Total Chess has unveiled a new universal rating system, with Magnus Carlsen at number-one. But nearly a decade after the Grand Chess Tour tried something remarkably similar, can this attempt succeed? Chess already has three different…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions