2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

Polymarket Sports › More sports Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $368 today · $123K traded · $49.7K at stake · prices read 21 min ago

The odds

74%Javokhir Sindarov

Javokhir Sindarov74%
Gukesh Dommaraju27%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Javokhir Sindarov	74%		73¢	74¢	$1.35	$58.6K
Gukesh Dommaraju	27%		26¢	27¢	$3.70	$64.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 WinnerJavokhir SindarovKalshi 71%Polymarket 74%3 pts apart

FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

71%Javokhir Sindarov

Javokhir Sindarov71%▲ 1
Gukesh Dommaraju28%
Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa<1%
Fabiano Caruana<1%

5 more

Andrey Esipenko<1%
Hikaru Nakamura<1%
Wei Yi<1%
Anish Giri<1%
Matthias Bluebaum<1%

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: World Chess, Javokhir Sindarov, Gukesh Dommaraju

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesJun 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$123K

Today$368

This week$123K

At stake$49.7K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.