October Unemployment Rate
4.18%median
3.75%4.65%
Median 4.18%Middle half 4.11% – 4.24%
Install
Credit Card Delinquency Rate in Q3 2026
The odds
2.81%median
2.78%2.92%
Median 2.81%Middle half 2.79% – 2.83%
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.81% on Oct 19, 2.81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.79% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| Above 2.80% | 63% | 59¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 3.00 | |
| Above 2.81% | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | 62.00 | |
| Above 2.82% | 33% | 29¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 2.00 | |
| Above 2.83% | 25% | 21¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | ||
| Above 2.84% | 19% | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | ||
| Above 2.85% | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| Above 2.86% | 12% | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| Above 2.87% | 9% | 5¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| Above 2.88% | 8% | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 437 | |
| Above 2.89% | 7% | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 134 | |
| Above 2.90% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| Above 2.91% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Credit Card Delinquency Rate
Search ›-
Credit card delinquency, net charge-off rates remain contained: September Credit PulseSeptember credit card delinquency rates edged up, but charge-offs eased across major issuers. The average credit card deliquency rate crept up in September, while the average net charge-off rate eased, according to data compiled from seven… -
Bank Of America Corp Says Credit Card Delinquency Rate Was 1.37% At Sept EndTradingView Bank Of America Corp Says Credit Card Delinquency Rate Was 1.37% At Sept End -
Inflation Outpaces Wages as US Consumer Spending WeakensUS households are losing purchasing power as inflation reached 3.7% while wages rose 3%, according to federal data released October 14. Higher fuel costs are adding pressure, while restaurants continue to see spending growth concentrated… -
Consumer buying power is decreasing right nowA lot of economic data has come out in the past couple of days, most of which is not good. On Thursday, for instance, U.S. Census data found relatively strong growth in September restaurant sales, which are up 1.1% from August, and 7%… -
Bank Of America Q3 Revenue Rises 3% To $30 Billion As Net Interest Income Climbs 8%Bank of America reported third-quarter 2026 results showing continued organic growth across deposits, lending, wealth management, digital engagement, and consumer activity. Revenue increased 3% year-over-year to $30 billion, while net…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions