Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 20, 2029 · $8 today · $125K traded · $20.5K at stake · prices read 19 min ago

The odds

21%chance▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 22% on Oct 20, 21% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 21% ▼ 1 20¢ 21¢ $4.76 611.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Panama Canal

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  • Panama Canal Revenue Jumps 16.6% to US$6.6BThe Rio Times · 4 days agoPanama Canal revenue reached US$6.6 billion in the fiscal year to 30 September 2026, up 16.6%, according to the Panama Canal Authority. The state agency that runs the waterway published the preliminary results on Wednesday 21 October 2026…
  • Panama Canal transits rise 4.1% in fiscal year 2026freshplaza.com · 4 days agoThe Panama Canal recorded growth in both vessel transits and tonnage in Fiscal Year 2026, which ran from October 2025 through September 2026. The results underscore the waterway's ability to meet the demand of global maritime trade while…
  • Panama Canal Shatters Cargo Record — And a Persian Gulf War Is WhyLatin Times · 4 days agoThe Panama Canal closed FY2026 with $6.6B in revenue and 521M tons of cargo — both all-time records driven by the Strait of Hormuz closure.
  • Panama Canal transits rise 4.1% as waterway restores last minute bookingsbreakbulk.news · 4 days agoThe Panama Canal recorded higher vessel traffic, tonnage and revenue in fiscal year 2026, while improving water conditions allowed the authority to restore last minute transit reservations at its Panamax locks. The canal handled 13,951…
  • Panama Canal Breaks 2022 Cargo Record At 521 Million Tonnes Amid Hormuz Closure And DroughtMarine Insight · 4 days agoThe Panama Canal handled a record 521 million tonnes of cargo in the year ending September 30, as ships sought alternative routes following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz during the Middle East war. The canal also faced water…
  • Panama Canal sees growth in transits and tonnage as water conditions improveSAFETY4SEA · 4 days agoThe Panama Canal recorded increases in vessel transits, tonnage and revenue during fiscal year 2026, supported by stronger demand from energy carriers and containerships, while announcing the reinstatement of last-minute transit…
  • Panama Canal transits rise 4.1% in FY2026 as tonnage reaches 521 millionContainer News · 4 days agoThe Panama Canal recorded higher vessel traffic and tonnage in fiscal year 2026, supported by stronger activity in energy shipping and the container shipping sector. The waterway handled 13,951 vessel transits between October 2025 and…
  • Panama Canal revenue hits $6.6bn as transits increasetradewindsnews.com · 4 days agoTradeWinds News Panama Canal revenue hits $6.6bn as transits increase Waterway's authority continues to adapt to the effects of El Nino
  • Panama Canal Last-Minute Slots ReturnThe Rio Times · 5 days agoPanama Canal last-minute slots are back at the older locks, giving ships without a reservation a chance at a spare crossing. The Panama Canal Authority, the state agency that runs the waterway, announced the change in an advisory dated…
  • Panama Canal Sets Cargo Record Amid Hormuz Closure Despite El Niño@theticotimes · 5 days agoThe Panama Canal handled a record 521 million metric tons of cargo as the Hormuz closure boosted traffic, despite drought restrictions linked to El Niño COSTA RICA'S LEADING ENGLISH LANGUAGE NEWSPAPER Panama Canal Sets Cargo Record Amid…
  • Panama Canal sets cargo recordDaily Tribune · 5 days agoDT · Oct 22, 2026, 4:32 AM PANAMA CITY, Panama (AFP) — The Panama Canal has set a record for cargo transits, buoyed by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the Middle East war, the waterway’s operator told Agence France-Presse on…
  • Panama Canal Sets Record for Annual Tonnage Driven by Shifts in TradeThe Maritime Executive · 5 days agoBy The Maritime Executive 2026-10-21 17:57:30 Speaking with the French news outlet AFP (Agence France-Presse) on Tuesday, officials highlighted a new record for the total volume of cargo moving through the canal. In the FY ending September…

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