Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? (2029)
The odds
Dec 31, 2026even chance by
- Before Nov 20266%▼ 5
- Before Dec 202651%▲ 3
- Before Jan 202765%▲ 5
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 2026: 10% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 2026 | 5% | $20.00 | 1.8K | |||
| Before Oct 2026 | 2% | $50.00 | 4.9K | |||
| Before Nov 2026 | 6% | ▼ 5 | 3¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 3.5K |
| Before Dec 2026 | 51% | ▲ 3 | 47¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 3.3K |
| Before Jan 2027 | 65% | ▲ 5 | 62¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 6.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump's Cabinet
Search ›- Trump Cabinet Official Rallies Lumberton GOP as Cooper Leads Whatley by Double DigitsHomeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin landed in Lumberton this week alongside Republican Senate candidate Michael Whatley and U.S. Rep. David Rouzer, part of a late push to energize GOP voters in a North Carolina Senate race where…
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Trump cabinet official eyeing ‘next chapter’ after he ‘broke the world’: GOP strategistDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth may already be contemplating his next political move as a longtime Republican strategist predicts he could soon face President Donald Trump’s wrath over the monthlong Iran conflict. Mark McKinnon raised… -
Dems headed for 'all-out brawl' that 'could get ugly' with Trump Cabinet member: reportDemocrats are planning to go after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent if they win control of Congress in the midterms, with Politico predicting an “all-out brawl.” Citing people with direct knowledge of Democrats’ plans who were granted… - Carney brushes off Lutnick’s take on what killed trade talksPresident Donald Trump says the trade fight puts Canada’s economy and Carney’s leadership at risk. Canada-U.S. Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc, left, and Prime Minister Mark Carney depart a press conference on Parliament Hill on Aug. 22…
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Recommended StoriesTrump says dishonest people have to be prosecuted after DOJ launches investigation into Corey Lewandowski Washington Examiner President Donald Trump declared that employees of his administration needed to be honest on the same day it was… -
Senior Trump cabinet member 'in trouble' as impeachment becomes 'inevitable': reportUS Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins, Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum, Attorney General Todd Blanche, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent attend a National Design Studio launch event for America.gov, a… -
Dem Rep. Garcia: We Will Aggressively Go After Trump Family Pay-to-PlayRepresentative Robert Garcia (D-CA) said Friday on MS NOW’s “The Beat,” Democrats “are going to be aggressive on day one” investigating the Trump family. Garcia said, “We’re going to first and foremost do real investigations. I think step… - House Rep. Garcia Announces Aggressive Investigation of Trump Family and AdministrationRepresentative Robert Garcia of California, a Democrat, appeared on MSNBC's program "The Beat'' on Friday to outline the House's strategy for probing the Trump family's alleged misconduct. During the interview, House minority leader Ari…
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What Could the 2026 Midterms Mean for Congress?The November midterm elections will determine which party controls the House and Senate, with potentially significant consequences for the final two years of President Donald Trump's term. Ross K. Baker, a distinguished professor emeritus… - Bladenboro Shooting Victim Dies, Murder Charge FiledA man shot on MLK Drive in Bladenboro earlier this week has died, and the man accused of shooting him now faces a murder charge. Mario Gillespie died from injuries he suffered in the Oct. 19 shooting, and Joseph Allen Banner Jr. was…
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Government Drops Appeal, Preserving Win for Plaintiffs in Challenge to Trump-Vance Administration’s Weaponization of Public Service Loan ForgivenessQuotes from additional plaintiffs included in the coalition about the court’s ruling are available here. The legal team on this case includes Sarah Goetz, Victoria Nugent, Simon Brewer, Jennifer Fountain Connolly, and Robin Thurston from… -
President Trump keeps talking about Sen. Jon Husted's backsideWASHINGTON - President Donald Trump can't stop marveling at the backside of Sen. Jon Husted. His gushing started Oct. 12 during a midterm campaign rally in Youngstown, Ohio, as the president sized up the physique of the 59-year-old Ohio…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions