Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 26, 11 PM ETAndrey Gyurov: 96% → 86%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Andrey Gyurov
85%
▼ 14
85¢
$1.18
14.0K
Iliana Yotova
5%
▼ 8
10¢
$10.00
7.3K
Kostadin Kostadinov
1%
1¢
$100.00
7.4K
Ivelin Mihaylov
1%
1¢
$100.00
2.8K
Radostin Vasilev
1%
1¢
$100.00
2.3K
Ivan Hristanov
1%
1¢
$100.00
2.5K
Nikolay Nenchev
1%
1¢
$100.00
2.5K
Ivaylo Simeonov
1%
1¢
$100.00
2.6K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bulgaria Presidential, Andrey Gyurov, Iliana Yotova
TRT World - Bulgaria's presidential election heads to November 1 runoffTRT World · 47 h agoBulgaria's presidential election will proceed to a runoff, as no candidate ticket secured more than 50 percent of the vote. According to unofficial results from polling agency Alpha Research released by Bulgarian National Television (BNT)…
Bulgaria presidential election goes into runoff amid low turnoutDaily Sabah · 31 h agoBulgaria’s presidential election ended inconclusively Sunday, with a record-low turnout sending the race to a runoff, election officials said. With only 22% of the eligible voters showing up, observers attributed the low turnout to a…
Bulgaria's presidential election heads to run-offYahoo News · 2 days agoBulgarian President Iliana Iotova came out on top in Sunday's presidential election but fell short of an outright majority, according to exit polls, setting the stage for a run-off against pro-Western challenger Andrey Gyurov. Surveys by…
Bulgarian Presidential Election Exposes Split Over Ukraine WarKyiv Post · 31 h agoIn brief: Bulgaria’s pro-Russia President Iliana Iotova narrowly led the first round of elections but fell short of expectations, setting up a Nov. 1 runoff against pro-Western challenger Andrey Gyurov amid tensions over suspected drone…
Explainer: Why Bulgaria's presidential election heads for runoffThe Star · 14 h agoSOFIA, Oct. 26 (Xinhua) -- Bulgaria's presidential election is heading for a closely contested runoff on Nov. 1 after incumbent President Iliana Iotova finished the first round ahead of former caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gurov by a…
Presidential race in Bulgaria heads to runoff due to record low turnoutCNN · 42 h agoThe presidential election in Bulgaria on Sunday ended inconclusively, with the next head of state to be picked in a runoff, according to election officials. A record low turnout, attributed by observers to a general mistrust in politicians…
Voting Abroad in Bulgaria's Presidential Election Begins in New ZealandBTA · 3 days agoVoting abroad in Bulgaria's presidential and vice-presidential elections began on Saturday evening, October 24, at 9 p.m. Bulgarian time and will conclude on the morning of October 26, the Foreign Ministry's press office said. Bulgarian…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions