Harry Kane: 72% on Oct 20, 72% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 72% | ▲ 7 | 72¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 2.5M |
| Lamine Yamal | 21% | ▼ 6 | 21¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 2.6M |
| Kylian Mbappe | 6% | ▲ 3 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.9M |
| Lionel Messi | 2% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 3.7M |
| Raphinha | 1% | $100.00 | 57.7K | |||
| Bukayo Saka | 1% | $100.00 | 68.8K | |||
| Pedri | 1% | $100.00 | 51.8K | |||
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 1% | $100.00 | 63.4K | |||
| Rayan Cherki | 1% | $100.00 | 39.7K | |||
| Desire Doue | 1% | $100.00 | 21.8K | |||
| Mohamed Salah | 1% | $100.00 | 35.4K | |||
| Cole Palmer | 1% | $100.00 | 23.1K | |||
| Scott McTominay | 1% | $100.00 | 16.0K | |||
| Bradley Barcola | 1% | $100.00 | 25.4K | |||
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1% | $100.00 | 47.7K | |||
| Phil Foden | 1% | $100.00 | 24.1K | |||
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 1% | $100.00 | 25.6K | |||
| Marcus Rashford | 1% | $100.00 | 25.5K | |||
| Erling Haaland | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 488.8K | ||
| Declan Rice | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 117.4K | ||
| Vitinha | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 68.8K | ||
| Michael Olise | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 426.0K | ||
| Vinicius Junior | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 70.2K | ||
| Luis Diaz | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 67.7K | ||
| Jude Bellingham | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 332.1K | ||
| Ousmane Dembele | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.0M | ||
| Nuno Mendes | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 32.0K | ||
| Bruno Fernandes | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 71.0K | ||
| Lautaro Martinez | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 21.6K | ||
| Rodri | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.2M | ||
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 827.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.