Settled155,400,000A day before, traders had a median of 155.72M
The last odds before it closed
155.25Mmedian
✓ Above 154.5 million100%▲ 1
✓ Above 155 million98%▲ 7
Above 155.5 million3%▼ 68
Above 156 million3%▼ 23
Above 156.5 million3%▼ 4
Above 157 million1%▼ 2
Above 157.5 million1%▼ 1
Above 158 million1%
Above 158.5 million1%
Above 159 million1%
How the odds have moved
Median: 155.73M on Oct 20, 155.25M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Above 154.5 million
100%
12.5K
✓ Above 155 million
98%
12.5K
✗ Above 155.5 million
3%
29.0K
✗ Above 156 million
3%
24.5K
✗ Above 156.5 million
3%
22.9K
✗ Above 157 million
1%
28.3K
✗ Above 157.5 million
1%
19.7K
✗ Above 158 million
1%
18.7K
✗ Above 158.5 million
1%
34.1K
✗ Above 159 million
1%
16.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions