Which banks will take Anthropic public? (Before Jan 1, 2028)

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $183 today · $3.8K traded · $2.2K at stake · prices read 55 min ago

The odds

92%Mizuho

Mizuho92%▲ 3
Rothschild & Co19%
Lazard18%
Centerview13%
Perella Weinberg Partners12%
Greenhill & Co11%
PJT Partners11%
Moelis & Company10%
Qatalyst Partners7%▼ 80
Allen & Company5%▼ 54
William Blair5%▼ 37
Raymond James5%▼ 33

3 more

Evercore5%▼ 83
Piper Sandler1%▼ 10
Stifel Financial1%▼ 37

How the odds have moved

Mizuho: 91% on Oct 20, 92% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Mizuho	92%	▲ 3	50¢		$1.09	2.5K
Rothschild & Co	19%			50¢	$2.00	2.8K
Lazard	18%			50¢	$2.00	43.00
Centerview	13%			17¢	$5.88	2.3K
Perella Weinberg Partners	12%			50¢	$2.00	131
Greenhill & Co	11%		10¢		$9.09	611
PJT Partners	11%			50¢	$2.00	1.0K
Moelis & Company	10%			50¢	$2.00	218
Qatalyst Partners	7%	▼ 80		19¢	$5.26	2.4K
Allen & Company	5%	▼ 54		11¢	$9.09	2.4K
William Blair	5%	▼ 37		84¢	$1.19	1.3K
Raymond James	5%	▼ 33		79¢	$1.27	633
Evercore	5%	▼ 83		9¢	$11.11	1.1K
Piper Sandler	1%	▼ 10		86¢	$1.16	470
Stifel Financial	1%	▼ 37		1¢	$100.00	3.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Anthropic, Claude

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Anthropic’s Claude AI model accessed Georgia voter data in USthe Guardian · 10 h agoAnthropic sued for allegedly using 274 Elvis songs to train AI models Anthropic’s Claude model accessed voter data in the US state of Georgia, the AI company has confirmed, in the latest example of unauthorised behaviour by the technology…
Claude AI accessed publicly available Georgia voter data, Anthropic confirmsFox Business · 21 h agoAnthropic's Claude AI model accessed publicly available voter data through Georgia's data hub, state officials and the company confirmed to FOX Business on Sunday. The Georgia Secretary of State's office stressed that the bot did not…
Anthropic Relies On Claude To Build Claude. That’s An Advantage And A Risk.Forbes · 4 h agoMore than 90 percent of Anthropic’s code was written by its own AI tool Claude in September, the company disclosed in its S-1 filing on Monday. The AI giant is increasingly using its own AI models to research, design and develop subsequent…
Anthropic debuts Claude Duet personal AI agent. Here's what to know.CBS News · 3 days agoOctober 23, 2026 / 10:52 AM EDT / CBS News Anthropic has joined the race to develop AI agents that work autonomously on behalf of humans with Claude Duet, a new app it previewed this week. The agent competes with Meta's Muse and OpenAI's…
Claude Duet is here: Anthropic's 24/7 AI agent, testedYahoo Finance · 10 h agoAnthropic just launched Claude Duet, a 24/7 personal agent that works on its own computer in the cloud and comes to you with what needs your attention. Host Ejaaz Ahamadeen tests it for 48 hours, compares it to Meta Muse, OpenAI Dots and…
Anthropic’s Claude AI Model Accessed US Voter Data@securitymag · 4 h ago“Claude did not access the state’s voter registration system, change any voting records, or pull any individual voter records,” Anthropic states. The AI instead accessed aggregate vote counts through a loophole in an older version of the…
Anthropic’s Claude AI Hacks into Georgia Voter DataBreitbart · 3 h agoAxios reports that Anthropic says Claude reached publicly available data that’s normally accessible only after a fee is paid, pulling aggregate vote counts for an internal Anthropic statistics project. The AI found a loophole in an old…
Anthropic officially files for its public debutTechCrunch · 6 h agoAfter weeks of leaked S-1s, Anthropic finally filed for an initial public offering on Monday, setting the stage for one of the most closely watched public debuts in modern U.S. history. Anthropic, which plans to list under the ticker…
Anthropic's blockbuster share listing - 5 surprising detailsBBC News · 4 h agoAnthropic CEO Dario Amodei has become a key figure in the current AI era. Artificial intelligence (AI) firm Anthropic just released the required paperwork ahead of its long-anticipated debut on the US stock market. The 335-page document…
Claude Code’s top enterprise users outspend other Claude users 20 to 1, Anthropic’s IPO filing saysThe New Stack · 6 h agoBlueconic sets this cookie as a unique identifier for the BlueConic profile. YouTube sets this cookie to manage feature rollout and experimentation. It helps Google control which new features or interface changes are shown to users as part…
AI giant Anthropic files for blockbuster IPO@coindesk · 15 h agoAnthropic filed for an IPO on Monday morning, aiming to take the company public in November. The prospectus showed first-half 2026 revenue of $16.3 billion and a net loss of $80.7 billion. Share count and price range remain undisclosed…
The Anthropic IPO Is Also a Doomsday PrimerWIRED · 5 h ago“Sufficiently advanced AI systems could, if not developed, deployed, and operated with appropriate safeguards, oversight and security measures, pose catastrophic or existential risks to humanity,” the prospectus reads, citing concerns both…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onU.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGAR database, Anthropic

Trading closesDec 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$3.8K (21,416 contracts)

Today$183

At stake$2.2K

In the news446 headlines today, 1,928 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Evercore serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

Evercore Inc.EVR · about the company257.40+2.19%
Lazard, Inc.LAZ · about the company37.70+1.32%
Moelis & CompanyMC · about the company55.26+1.34%
PJTPJT · about the company
PWPPWP · about the company
SFSF · about the company

From 4Conservative Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions