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Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
The odds
22%Before Jan 20, 2029
- Before Jan 1, 20276%
- Before Jan 1, 202816%▲ 1
- Before Jan 20, 202922%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 5% on Oct 20, 6% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.4K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 16% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 143 |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 22% | ▲ 2 | 21¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 191.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Section IV, Trump's Presidency, Amendment
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Section IV Football Class D Playoff Quarterfinals announcedThe Delhi Bulldogs will enter the Section IV Class D tournament as the #1 overall seed. Quarterfinal matchups will begin on October 30 #8 B.G.A.H. at #1 Delhi - 7 p.m. #7 Trumansburg at #2 Tioga - 7 p.m. #6 Sidney at #3 Schuyler - 7 p.m… -
Seton Catholic boys soccer holds off Greene in Section IV Class C semifinalSeton had goals scored by Gregorio Morales and Will Wasser, Greene's lone goal was scored by Gavin Strantz. Saints goalkeeper Ben Powell stole the show with 10 saves in the victory. Next up for Seton Catholic will be a home matchup against… -
Susquehanna Valley boys soccer uses second-half surge to cruise past Sidney in Section IV quarterfinalSusquehanna Valley's Giano Lisi fires a shot on goal in Saturday's win over Sidney Next up for the Sabers will be a semifinal matchup on October 27 against Lansing, that game will be held at Susquehanna Valley High School. Chenango Forks… -
Chenango Forks boys soccer dominates Dryden in Section IV Class B quarterfinalChenango Forks midfielder AJ Rullo with a good offensive opportunity in the Blue Devils' victory over Dryden on Saturday morning Chenango Forks scored five goals in each half on their way to the victory. The Blue Devils were led by Lincoln… -
Ex-insider predicts startling end to Trump presidency amid war talks: 'They hate his guts'A former Trump administration staffer shared a startling prediction about how Donald Trump's presidency could end in a new podcast interview Sunday. "If that meeting were to happen, then I would tell you that the Republican Party is… -
Sheboygan letters weigh election and Trump's presidencyHere are this week's letters to the editor of the Sheboygan Press. See our letters policy below for details about how to share your views. Oct. 21 was the deadline to submit a letter to the editor regarding the Nov. 3 election. I'm afraid… -
ZEBRA's RANDY JACKSON Says Second TRUMP Presidency Has Been 'A Nightmare': 'I'm Voting Blue, Straight Up And Down', In The Midterm ElectionZEBRA's highly anticipated fifth studio album, "Zebra V", will arrive on November 13, marking the band's first new studio album in more than two decades. ZEBRA's new album, which was recorded at Jackson and Gelso's home studios, was… -
Rapper Nikki Minaj joins Trump onstage at Michigan rallyRapper Nikki Minaj said President Donald Trump has "changed the energy of the country" as she joined him at a Michigan rally to stump for Republicans ahead of the nationwide midterm elections. "He's given us a future to look forward to,"… -
Section IV Girls Soccer Tournament Scoreboard: October 20, 2026Section IV Class C Opening Round #2 Greene: 7 - #15 Unadilla Valley: 1 #3 Southern Cayuga: 3 - #14 Moravia: 0 #4 Elmira Notre Dame: 5 - #13 Oxford: 2 #5 Unatego/Franklin: 3 - #12 Groton: 2 #6 Marathon: 3 - #11 Tioga: 0 #7 Odessa-Montour: 3… -
Trump praises Elon Musk as a 'genius' while defending him against potential Democratic probesPresident Donald Trump told FOX Business that Americans have an "obligation to protect our geniuses," defending Elon Musk as a "brilliant guy" when asked whether Democrats could target the billionaire if they win control of Congress… -
Greene girls soccer dominates Unadilla Valley / G.M.U. in opening round of Section IV Class C tournamentThe Trojans had four different goal scorers in a explosive 7-1 win in the opening round of the Section IV Class C tournament. Greene's Haley Butler, Caitlin Walls, and Chloe Waltz each finished with two goals a piece to lead the Trojans… -
Section IV Field Hockey tournament brackets released for 2026 tournament#3 Owego at #2 Windsor - 6:00 p.m. The defending state champion Black Knights enter as the 2-seed after falling to Maine-Endwell in a 2-1 final back on September 17 and they will face Owego in the semifinal who are searching for their…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions