Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official? (Before Jan 1, 2029)
The odds
31%Before Jan 1, 2029
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
- Before Jan 1, 202821%
- Before Jan 1, 202931%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 6% on Oct 19, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.9K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 603 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 31% | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 28.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Cabinet-level AI
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El-Sayed calls for sweeping AI controls and stronger public oversightDETROIT (MNTV) – Democratic US Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed has unveiled an ambitious plan to rein in artificial intelligence, calling for limits on the development of powerful AI systems, stronger public oversight and safeguards…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions