Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 20, 2029 · $17 today · $26.2K traded · $5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

14%USAID
  • USAID14%▼ 3
  • EPA12%
  • IRS7%
  • NASA5%

How the odds have moved

USAID: 18% on Oct 20, 14% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
USAID 14% ▼ 3 13¢ 16¢ $6.25 155.1K
EPA 12% 11¢ 13¢ $7.69 9.2K
IRS 7% 6¢ 9¢ $11.63 34.2K
NASA 5% 2¢ 7¢ $13.89 2.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • Florida’s new TrumpPOLITICO · 23 h agoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By DASHA BURNS, WILL STEAKIN and ADAM WREN 10/23/2026 06:05 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Friday. As Election Day bears…
  • Canada’s Trump Fixation FadesNational Review · 21 h agoReunion with Rome: An Orthodox Perspective Why Assisted Suicide Failed in Britain Could This Time Be Different on Ukraine? After trade talks between the U.S. and Canada collapsed in August, there were fears a new cold war would break out…
  • Trump responds to Machado's return to Venezuelacnn.com · 5 h agoVenezuelan opposition leader and Nobel laureate María Corina Machado returned home after nearly a year in exile. President Trump commented: “She gave me her Nobel Prize, so how can I say anything else?" CNN News Central's John Berman…
  • President Trump continues midterm election ralliesCBS News · 20 h agoCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm
  • Catholic bishops apologise for 'exploited' Trump meetingBBC News · 10 h agoA screengrab of a clip from the 22 October meeting at the White House. Two Catholic bishops in the US have said they regret meeting President Donald Trump at the White House, after images of them praying with him were released and prompted…
  • Trump administration weighs ultra-processed food definitionsemafor.com · 10 h agoA heated debate over how to define what qualifies as an ultra-processed food contributed to the resignation of Trump administration health adviser Calley Means ahead of the midterm elections. People familiar with his exit say he was…
  • President Trump, first lady Melania Trump cast early voting ballotsFox News · 46 h agoPresident Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump deliver remarks after casting their early voting ballots in West Palm Beach, Fla. President Trump, first lady Melania Trump cast early voting ballots President Donald Trump and first lady…
  • Trump admin illegally fired Maurene Comey, judge rulesPOLITICO · 3 h agoMaurene Comey, a federal prosecutor and the daughter of former FBI Director James Comey, sued DOJ over her abrupt firing after she was terminated without explanation. Maurene Comey appears outside court in New York on June 3, 2025. | Ted…
  • Trump demands Ilhan Omar resign amid federal probeFox News · 5 h agoChief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on President Donald Trump's calls for Minnesota Rep. Ilhan Omar to resign. The Democrat faces scrutiny over immigration and finances. Trump demands Ilhan Omar resign amid federal probe…
  • Trump Admin Posts Map of America With No VermontNewsweek · 5 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 06:18 AM EDT While announcing major investments in energy infrastructure this week, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) seemed to make one key mistake—leaving out an entire state. The DOE’s official account shared a graphic…
  • 2026 Midterms: Trump Attacks El-Sayed, Election LawsuitsFox News · 6 h agoPresident Donald Trump escalated attacks against Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed as Republicans seek to hold the Senate, while legal fights over disputed ballots in California and Alaska raise fresh questions about election…
  • Five ways Trump has changed immigration in the USBBC News · 7 h agoImmigration has always been central to Donald Trump's message. When he famously stepped onto the golden escalator at Trump Tower to announce his candidacy for his first presidential term in 2015, he accused Mexico for of sending drugs and…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions