Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
11%
7¢
15¢
$6.67
11.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Meta and Instinct are racing to build your AI assistant. Wabi has a different idea.TechCrunch · 4 days agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. It seems like every big AI player is building a personal agent. Meta has Muse, OpenAI launched Dots, and a startup called Instinct recently raised $1 billion at a $10…
Review: Ray-Ban Meta AudioWIRED · 42 h agoI am very lost in Los Angeles. I’m also sweating because I'm running as fast as I can, slapping my hands against the wet glasses frame on my face to boost the volume of the pulsing techno beats blasting into my ears—and anyone else’s if…
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How Many Billions Would It Take to Hold Meta Accountable?WIRED · 3 days agoEarlier this week, a New Mexico judge ordered Meta to pay a $25 billion fine for violating consumer protection laws dating back to the Cambridge Analytica scandal. $25 billion is a massive fine, the largest Meta has ever faced, but it…
Meta delays new business terms after publisher pushback on AI scrapingThe Verge · 3 days agoMeta is delaying the enforcement of its new business terms after publishers raised concerns that they could allow the company to scrape news sites for AI training, as reported earlier by Fast Company. In a statement to The Verge, Meta…
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How I Predict the Future: Gut Instinct, Verification, and BuildingDEV Community · 23 h agoI've noticed something interesting about the way I think about technology. Sometimes, I get a gut feeling about how something should work, how a product could evolve, or how people's relationship with technology might change. I don't…
Why some people are falling for Meta's Muse AIFox News · 3 days agoYou might use artificial intelligence to write an email, make dinner reservations or plan your next vacation. But would you ever consider dating it? Some people are taking that idea seriously with Meta's new Muse AI agent. They're having…
Meta turns Muse sharing back onThe Verge · 3 days agoMeta has given new URLs to shared Muse ‘artifacts’ after security researchers reported that public links could be easy to find. Meta has re-enabled Muse sharing after security researchers had reported that public conversation links could…
Trusting her instincts leads Lafayette woman to lifesaving lung cancer treatmentThe Advocate · 23 h agoTerry Brazell poses for a picture after ringing the bell in the FMOL Health | Our Lady of Lourdes JD Moncus Cancer & Infusion Center, signifying the end of her last chemotherapy treatment. This article is brought to you by FMOL Health |…
AGI and AGE: Defining Intelligence in The AI InstinctDEV Community · 42 h agoThe article analyzes the issues surrounding Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), indicating that it... Tagged with artificialgeneralint, artificialgeneralexp, shiftingdefinitional, universalintelligenc. The article analyzes the issues…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions