Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
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Apple headcount in 2026
The odds
169,689median
162,000176,000
Median 169,689Middle half 167,314 – 172,750
How the odds have moved
Median: 169,696 on Oct 20, 169,689 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 164000 | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 983 | |
| Above 166000 | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 90.00 | |
| Above 168000 | 69% | ▼ 1 | 65¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 2.7K |
| Above 170000 | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 2.5K | |
| Above 172000 | 30% | 26¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 2.9K | |
| Above 174000 | 18% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Apple
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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All companies ›Largest Company end of December 2026?
72%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA72%▲ 4
- Apple26%▼ 2
- Alphabet2%
5 more
- Microsoft<1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest Company end of October 2026?
87%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA87%
- Apple12%▲ 2
- Alphabet1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
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NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?
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Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3 (average passenger fare in Q3 2026)
$230.13median
$180$245
Median $230.13Middle half $225.56 – $233.47
Cava Foot Traffic in October (October 2026)
96.5median
84114
Median 96.5Middle half 94.1 – 98.1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.