Mariah Carey: 91% on Oct 20, 90% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariah Carey | 90% | ▼ 1 | 88¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 5.9K |
| Tate McRae | 62% | ▼ 7 | 59¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 13.1K |
| Morgan Wallen | 32% | ▲ 5 | 27¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 13.1K |
| Kendrick Lamar | 20% | ▲ 4 | 14¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 3.9K |
| SZA | 19% | ▲ 5 | 15¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 1.5K |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 19% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 4.1K |
| Post Malone | 17% | ▲ 3 | 15¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 11.0K |
| Beyoncé | 17% | ▼ 3 | 12¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 7.9K |
| Chappell Roan | 14% | 14¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 13.1K | |
| Travis Scott | 14% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 3.4K |
| Future | 11% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 13.5K |
| Lady Gaga | 11% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 2.1K |
| Lana Del Rey | 11% | ▼ 2 | 8¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 2.3K |
| KAROL G | 9% | 6¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 7.7K | |
| Zach Bryan | 9% | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 10.7K | |
| Frank Ocean | 9% | 7¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 2.4K | |
| Eminem | 9% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 224 |
| Olivia Dean | 9% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 9.9K |
| Billie Eilish | 8% | ▼ 4 | 7¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 4.3K |
| Nicki Minaj | 8% | 7¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.2K | |
| Young Thug | 8% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.8K |
| Luke Combs | 8% | 7¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 4.7K | |
| sombr | 8% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 741 |
| Lil Baby | 8% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 636 |
| Don Toliver | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 9.6K | |
| The Weeknd | 7% | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 10.8K | |
| Justin Bieber | 7% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 2.1K | |
| Doechii | 7% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.8K | |
| KATSEYE | 7% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 4.2K |
| Tyler, The Creator | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 3.8K | |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 6% | ▲ 3 | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.4K |
| SIENNA SPIRO | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.5K | |
| Tame Impala | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 676 |
| Dua Lipa | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.9K | |
| 21 Savage | 6% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 135 |
| Shawn Mendes | 6% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.5K |
| Selena Gomez | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 76.00 |
| Zara Larsson | 5% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.7K |
| J Balvin | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 638 | |
| Lil Wayne | 5% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.3K |
| Pharrell Williams | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 32.00 | |
| Offset | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 88.00 |
| Roddy Ricch | 5% | ▲ 3 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 120 |
| Megan Thee Stallion | 5% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.3K |
| Chris Brown | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.8K |
| David Guetta | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 490 | |
| Daniel Caesar | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 11.00 | |
| Alex Warren | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.7K |
| PinkPantheress | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.8K | |
| Gracie Abrams | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.8K | |
| Ed Sheeran | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.2K | |
| Rihanna | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 3.2K | |
| Coldplay | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 585 | |
| Khalid | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 847 |
| Jason Derulo | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 91.00 | |
| USHER | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 223 | |
| Justin Timberlake | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 52.00 | |
| Migos | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 46.00 | |
| Polo G | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 52.00 | |
| PARTYNEXTDOOR | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.00 | |
| John Mayer | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 233 | |
| Ice Spice | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 503 | |
| Addison Rae | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 382 | |
| Shaboozey | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 1.0K | |
| Rauw Alejandro | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 490 | |
| Calvin Harris | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 807 | |
| J. Cole | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 14.8K |
| Doja Cat | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.5K |
| Sam Smith | 3% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 619 |
| Charlie Puth | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 1.1K | |
| Kodak Black | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 37.00 | |
| Big Sean | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 60.00 | |
| The Kid LAROI | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 189 | |
| Camilo | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 100 | |
| Bryson Tiller | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 36.00 | |
| Stray Kids | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.3K | |
| mgk | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 1.8K | |
| Lil Yachty | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 76.00 | |
| Fred again.. | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 447 | |
| Lola Young | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 125 | |
| Kanye West / Ye | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 22.9K | |
| BLACKPINK | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 2.0K | |
| Kali Uchis | 3% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 154 |
| Daft Punk | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 408 | |
| Joji | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 2.3K | |
| Charli xcx | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 8.4K | |
| ROSALÍA | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 86.00 | |
| Benson Boone | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.2K | |
| Tyla | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.5K |
| EsDeeKid | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 451 | |
| Ozuna | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 150 | |
| Anuel AA | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 307 | |
| Tyga | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 150 | |
| Bebe Rexha | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 382 | |
| NF | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 293 | |
| Leon Thomas | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 740 | |
| Sia | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.0K | |
| Linkin Park | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.0K | |
| Quavo | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 150 | |
| YoungBoy Never Broke Again | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.0K | |
| Swae Lee | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.7K | |
| Kid Cudi | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 25.00 | |
| 2 Chainz | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 142 | |
| Fall Out Boy | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 605 | |
| Lewis Capaldi | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 476 | |
| Logic | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 300 | ||
| Lil Nas X | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 26.00 | |
| Childish Gambino | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 99.00 | |
| The Marías | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 316 | |
| Maroon 5 | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 326 | ||
| Trippie Redd | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 307 | ||
| Geese | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.0K | ||
| Clairo | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 677 | ||
| Grimes | 1% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 408 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions