NC-01 House Election Winner
82%Don Davis (D)
- Don Davis (D)82%▲ 1
- Laurie Buckhout (R)17%▼ 3
Install
NC-01 House winner? (2026)
The odds
82%Don Davis
- Don Davis82%▲ 1
- Laurie Buckhout19%
How the odds have moved
Don Davis: 68% on Oct 20, 82% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Davis | 82% | ▲ 1 | 81¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 252.7K |
| Laurie Buckhout | 19% | 18¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 161.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- NC-01 House winner? (2026)Laurie Buckhout (R)Kalshi 19%Polymarket 17%2 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: NC- House, Don Davis, Laurie Buckhout
Search ›-
AI-backed super PAC supports Laurie Buckhout in key NC RaceAI is one of the core issues on voters’ minds this year. One organization hoping to put guardrails on AI development wants voters to know a super PAC funded by tech leaders has supported Republican Laurie Buckhout. Laurie Buckhout, the… -
DMFI to spend $7 million to support Reps. Don Davis, Shomari FiguresThe districts are seen as longshots for Democrats; DMFI PAC’s Brian Romick said, ‘Winning battleground districts like theirs is essential to building a broad coalition’ Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images Rep. Don Davis (D-NC)… -
Left-Wing Dark Money Groups Are Sending Mailers to Mislead NC-01 Voters on Laurie Buckhout's RecordThis time, the mailers sent by "American Forge Coalition" are blatantly lying about Buckhout's position on abortion, falsely claiming that she supports allowing abortion up to birth. This is false. Col. Buckhout is pro-life. This is the… -
Laurie Buckhout attacks Davis during Trump rallyLaurie Buckhout, the Republican nominee for North Carolina's 1st District, speaks during President Donald Trump's rally at Pitt-Greenville Airport on Oct. 20. The Republican candidate for the District 1 congressional seat stood before… -
Fact check: Do ‘radical Democrats’ AOC, Elizabeth Warren support NC’s Don Davis?In northeastern North Carolina, U.S. Rep. Don Davis, a moderate Democrat, is fighting to keep his congressional seat after state lawmakers redrew his district to be more favorable to Republicans. His opponent, retired U.S. Army officer… -
Can U.S. Rep. Don Davis beat a gerrymander?A year ago this month, Republican state lawmakers redrew North Carolina's 1st Congressional District to make it more conservative — part of a national push from President Donald Trump to make it easier to defeat Democrats in Congress. But… -
Don Davis Accepted Campaign Donation From Problematic NC State Party ChairThen we learned that Davis was cozying up with Pastor Daimon L. King, who is a commissioner on the New Bern Housing Authority Board and a convicted and registered sex offender. King is not the only problematic figure Davis is associated… -
At the Races: Family in the frayWelcome to At the Races! Each week we bring you news and analysis from the Roll Call campaign team. Know someone who’d like to get this newsletter? They can subscribe here. By Daniela Altimari, Niels Lesniewski and Mary Ellen McIntire An… -
Part 1: Rep. Don Davis speaks with Dave Jordan about his reelection campaignWITN Part 1: Rep. Don Davis speaks with Dave Jordan about his reelection campaign Juvenile arrested after man was shot multiple times at Edenton McDonalds, police say 1 arrested after motorcyclist killed in Greenville fatal crash Round two… -
Part 2: Rep. Don Davis speaks with Dave Jordan about his reelection campaignWITN Part 2: Rep. Don Davis speaks with Dave Jordan about his reelection campaign Juvenile arrested after man was shot multiple times at Edenton McDonalds, police say 1 arrested after motorcyclist killed in Greenville fatal crash Round two… - Buckhout set sights on Davis during Trump rallyLaurie Buckhout, the Republican nominee for North Carolina's 1st District, speaks during President Donald Trump's rally at Pitt-Greenville Airport on Oct. 20. The Republican candidate for the District 1 congressional seat stood before…
- Buckhout set sites on Davis during Trump rallyLaurie Buckhout, the Republican nominee for North Carolina's 1st District, speaks during President Donald Trump's rally at Pitt-Greenville Airport on Oct. 20. The Republican candidate for the District 1 congressional seat stood before…
Related markets
All house ›Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%▼ 1
- Republican Party10%
NC-13 House Election Winner
68%Brad Knott (R)
- Brad Knott (R)68%▼ 11
- Paul Barringer (D)32%▲ 10
MN-05 House winner?
94%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar94%▼ 1
- John Nagel5%
- DeVelle Jackson1%
TX-15 House winner? (2026)
86%Bobby Pulido
- Bobby Pulido86%▼ 1
- Monica De La Cruz15%▲ 4
NC-13 House winner?
69%Brad Knott
- Brad Knott69%▼ 11
- Paul Barringer32%▲ 11
NC-03 House winner?
66%Greg Murphy
- Greg Murphy66%▼ 6
- Raymond Smith Jr.35%▲ 6
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions