US Retail Sales of Miscellaneous Store Retailers (Dec 2026)

ForecastEx Economy › Growth & recession Closes Jan 14, 2027 · $5.1K traded · $5.1K at stake · prices read 4 h ago

The odds

16,675median
14,00017,000
Median 16,675Middle half 16,613 – 16,738

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 14,200 88% $1.14
Above 14,400 88% $1.14 20.00
Above 14,600 88% $1.14 70.00
Above 14,800 88% $1.14 130
Above 15,000 88% $1.14 240
Above 15,200 88% $1.14 380
Above 15,400 88% $1.14 560
Above 15,600 88% $1.14 710
Above 15,800 88% $1.14 790
Above 16,000 88% $1.14 810
Above 16,200 88% $1.14 720
Above 16,400 88% $1.14 580
Above 16,600 80% $1.25 380
Above 16,800 <1%

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Retail Sales of Miscellaneous Store Retailers

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.