US Retail Sales of Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, and Book Stores (Dec 2026)

ForecastEx Economy › Growth & recession Closes Jan 14, 2027 · $2 today · $3.3K traded · $3.3K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

9,078median
7,2009,600
Median 9,078Middle half 9,000 – 9,156

How the odds have moved

Median: 9,085 on Oct 20, 9,078 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 7,400 77% $1.31
Above 7,600 77% $1.31 10.00
Above 7,800 77% $1.31 740
Above 8,000 77% $1.31 580
Above 8,200 77% $1.31 310
Above 8,400 77% $1.31 370
Above 8,600 77% $1.31 720
Above 8,800 77% $1.31 710
Above 9,000 75% $1.33 500
Above 9,200 11% $9.09 100
Above 9,400 <1%

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Retail Sales of Sporting Goods, Musical Instrument, Book Stores

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All growth & recession ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.