Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Dec 2026)
3.67median
-3.506.30
Median 3.67Middle half 2.98 – 4.12
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Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Sep 2026)
The odds
3.47median
1.204.40
Median 3.47Middle half 3.31 – 3.69
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.47 on Oct 20, 3.47 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.4 | 96% | $1.05 | 120 | |||
| Above 1.6 | 96% | $1.05 | 420 | |||
| Above 2 | 95% | $1.06 | 510 | |||
| Above 2.4 | 95% | $1.06 | 500 | |||
| Above 2.8 | 93% | $1.08 | 450 | |||
| Above 3.2 | 93% | $1.08 | 80.00 | |||
| Above 3.6 | 30% | $3.33 | 120 | |||
| Above 4 | 7% | $15.38 | 550 | |||
| Above 4.2 | 7% | $15.38 | 100 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index
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US import prices increase; post largest annual gain in more than four yearsWASHINGTON: US import prices increased more than expected in September, boosted by higher costs for energy products and a range of other goods, further evidence of rising inflation pressures as the Middle East conflict persists. The report… -
Tesla's Roadster reveal, Apple and Meta team up, Nike's India push and more in Morning SquawkHappy Friday. I'm running the Detroit Marathon on Sunday, so I'm especially grateful to see that, unlike recent weekends, there's no inclement weather in the forecast. Some programming news: I'm moving to a new reporting assignment at… -
Fed and ECB: December rate hikes look increasingly likely16 October 2026 at 16:00 UTC Persistent inflation is strengthening the case for further monetary tightening in both the United States and the euro area. December remains the more likely timing for the next rate increases, although the… -
Americans feel more and more glum, data shows. Economists are over it8 in 10 Americans disapprove of US President Donald Trump’s handling of inflation, an unusually low rating by US political standards. According to a recent AP-NORC Research Center poll, 82% of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of… -
Energy a key part of September economic growth in Oklahoma - Oklahoma Energy TodayEnergy’s increased productivity was a key part of the growth. Gross Production Tax revenue totaled $95.4 million in September, up 6.3% from the same month last year. “Oklahoma’s revenue performance continues to show growth across major tax… -
Treasury Yields Plunge Continue Despite Hot Inflation ReportsDaily analysis of liquidity, volatility, and market positioning — read by thousands every trading day. Stocks finished higher, rebounding from an early-morning decline after the hotter-than-expected PPI report. Rates also fell sharply, and… -
US producer prices post largest increase in 4-1/2 years in SeptemberUS producer prices increased by the most in 4-1/2 years in September amid rising costs for goods and services, the latest indication of inflation broadening out beyond energy products. The Producer Price Index for final demand jumped 1.3… -
US Producer Prices Jump Most Since March 2022 as Energy Costs Ripple Through EconomyProducer prices accelerated in September, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting a 1.3% month over month increase - the largest since March 2022 - lifting the year over year change to 6.3%. Stripping out food and energy, the index… -
Wholesale inflation jumped in September by most in four years - CNNUS wholesale inflation shot higher in September, soaring to its highest level in more than four years, Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed Thursday. The Producer Price Index rose 1.3% from August and 6.3% from the year before, according… -
Another inflation report just flashed warning signsWholesale inflation accelerated 1.3% in September, government figures released Thursday show, marking the largest monthly gain since March 2022. That brought the producer price index (PPI) up to a 6.3% increase on a 12-month basis, the… -
Trump Says Interest Rates Should Be ‘1%, or Less.’ That’s Got to Be Good, Right? Maybe Not.The Fed raised its target range to between 3.75% and 4% with a 12-0 vote in September 2026. A little arithmetic shows who gains and who loses if the president gets his way. Over two decades making money matters clear, practical and… -
US wholesale inflation hits four-year high ahead of midterm electionsHome » Trending » US wholesale inflation hits four-year high ahead of midterm elections This latest PPI release followed a day after the Consumer Price Index report for September indicated that inflationary pressures were widening across…
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All inflation ›Core CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)
2.83%median
1.9%3.6%
Median 2.83%Middle half 2.72% – 2.97%
CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.23%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.23%Middle half 0.15% – 0.31%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
3.21%median
-0.5%6.5%
Median 3.21%Middle half 2.5% – 5.73%
CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)
3.88%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.88%Middle half 3.7% – 4.06%
Core CPI MoM - October 2026
0.23%median
-0.05%0.65%
Median 0.23%Middle half 0.16% – 0.31%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.