Global Sea Level (Dec 2026)
118.6median
85135
Median 118.6Middle half 106.3 – 123.1
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Global Sea Level (Dec 2027)
The odds
103.9median
82.3129.8
Median 103.9
How the odds have moved
Median: 103.9 on Oct 20, 103.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 84.8 | 73% | $1.37 | ||||
| Above 87.3 | 73% | $1.37 | ||||
| Above 89.8 | 73% | $1.37 | 770 | |||
| Above 89.9 | 73% | $1.37 | 780 | |||
| Above 92.3 | 73% | $1.37 | 790 | |||
| Above 94.8 | 73% | $1.37 | 780 | |||
| Above 97.3 | 73% | $1.37 | 770 | |||
| Above 99.8 | 71% | $1.41 | 680 | |||
| Above 102.3 | 65% | $1.54 | 620 | |||
| Above 104.8 | 41% | $2.45 | 250 | |||
| Above 107.3 | 41% | $2.45 | 140 | |||
| Above 109.8 | 41% | $2.45 | 90.00 | |||
| Above 112.3 | 41% | $2.45 | 30.00 | |||
| Above 114.8 | 41% | $2.45 | 10.00 | |||
| Above 117.3 | 41% | $2.45 | ||||
| Above 119.8 | 25% | $4.00 | ||||
| Above 122.3 | 8% | $12.50 | ||||
| Above 124.8 | <1% | |||||
| Above 127.3 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Global Sea Level
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.