United States Carbon Dioxide Emissions (Dec 2028)
4,350median
3,9005,050
Median 4,350
Install
United States Carbon Dioxide Emissions (Dec 2026)
The odds
4,850median
4,0005,150
Median 4,850Middle half 4,810 – 4,900
How the odds have moved
Median: 4,850 on Oct 20, 4,850 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4,050 | 84% | $1.19 | ||||
| Above 4,100 | 84% | $1.19 | ||||
| Above 4,150 | 84% | $1.19 | ||||
| Above 4,200 | 84% | $1.19 | ||||
| Above 4,250 | 84% | $1.19 | ||||
| Above 4,300 | 84% | $1.19 | ||||
| Above 4,350 | 84% | $1.19 | 20.00 | |||
| Above 4,400 | 84% | $1.19 | 40.00 | |||
| Above 4,450 | 84% | $1.19 | 110 | |||
| Above 4,500 | 84% | $1.19 | 90.00 | |||
| Above 4,550 | 84% | $1.19 | 150 | |||
| Above 4,600 | 84% | $1.19 | 240 | |||
| Above 4,650 | 84% | $1.19 | 270 | |||
| Above 4,700 | 84% | $1.19 | 340 | |||
| Above 4,750 | 84% | $1.19 | 390 | |||
| Above 4,800 | 81% | $1.23 | 400 | |||
| Above 4,850 | 50% | $2.00 | 170 | |||
| Above 4,900 | 25% | $4.00 | 80.00 | |||
| Above 4,950 | 14% | $7.14 | 90.00 | |||
| Above 5,000 | 9% | $11.11 | 50.00 | |||
| Above 5,050 | 8% | $12.50 | ||||
| Above 5,100 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: United States Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All climate ›New pandemic in 2026?
4%chance▲ 1
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
72%chance▼ 1
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
3%chance▼ 1
US meets its climate goals? (2025/2030 goals)
86%By 2030
1,7256,502
Monthly Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide (Dec 2026)
429.3median
425434
Median 429.3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.