Canada Real GDP (Q4 2026)

ForecastEx Economy › Growth & recession Closes Mar 1, 2027 · $2.6K traded · $2.6K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

0%median
-2.4%2%
Median 0%

How the odds have moved

Median: 0% on Oct 20, 0% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above -2% 66% $1.52
Above -1.6% 66% $1.52 700
Above -1.2% 66% $1.52 700
Above -0.8% 66% $1.52 700
Above -0.4% 66% $1.52 620
Above 0% 50% $2.00 490
Above 0.4% 30% $3.33 290
Above 0.8% 5% $20.00 40.00
Above 1.2% 2% $50.00 10.00
Above 1.6% <1%

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: GDP, economic growth, Canada Real GDP

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.