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US Treasury cash balance on October 23, 2026
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: $967.97 on Oct 21, $978.19 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $850 billion | 97% | 46¢ | $1.03 | 610 | ||
| Above $875 billion | 97% | 19¢ | $1.03 | 805 | ||
| Above $900 billion | 96% | 25¢ | $1.04 | 341 | ||
| Above $925 billion | 93% | 18¢ | $1.08 | 149 | ||
| Above $950 billion | 93% | ▼ 4 | 51¢ | $1.08 | 513 | |
| Above $975 billion | 56% | ▲ 37 | 19¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 772 |
| Above $1,000 billion | 9% | ▼ 2 | 9¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 392 |
| Above $1,025 billion | 8% | ▼ 2 | 7¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 12.8K |
| Above $1,050 billion | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 15.6K | |
| Above $1,075 billion | 3% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 22.4K | |
| Above $1,100 billion | 1% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 34.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Treasury
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Treasury chief lauds Türkiye's achievements in fiscal transparencyTürkiye has taken "major steps forward" in fiscal transparency in the last decade, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in a recent assessment, with a top Turkish economy official lauding the improvement and tying it to institutional… -
Treasury eyes Sh42bn toll deals for Nairobi, Mombasa bypassesThe Southern Bypass Toll Station of the Nairobi Expressway on January 2, 2024. The National Treasury eyes Sh42.26 billion toll deals for two major bypass roads in Nairobi and Mombasa under concession terms. Disclosures show that the… -
SRD grant a “material risk” to government, declares TreasuryHome » Lifestyle » SASSA » SRD grant a “material risk” to government, declares Treasury Extending the grant until 31 March 2027 doesn’t reveal Treasury’s entire plan. On Wednesday, Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana announced that the… -
From Chatbots to Economic Agents: Autonomous Treasury Management on BaseSebagian besar tim engineering salah mendefinisikan "agen AI". Mereka membungkus API LLM dengan prompt sistem yang rumit, memberinya akses pencarian web via vector store, lalu menyebutnya otonom. Itu bukan agen. Itu hanya antarmuka teks… -
Cardano Price Drops as Treasury Proposal Suggests Investing in CopperOn this timeframe the 200 EMA tracks the average price of roughly the last 33 days, and it now sits at $0.2285 with a downward slope. ADA lost it on October 13 and has not closed a 4-hour candle above it since. The 0.618 Fibonacci… -
Crypto Treasury Management: Bitcoin Lending's Next PhaseOn October 23, 2026, Silicon Valley Bank / First Citizens Innovation published a report that marks a structural shift in crypto treasury management: Bitcoin-backed lending has matured into a collateralized, transparent institutional… -
Palli Sanchay Bank deposits Tk 60 crore dividend in govt treasuryPalli Sanchay Bank has deposited Tk 60 crore in dividends declared in favour of the government for the period up to the 2023-24 fiscal year into the government treasury. Copyright: Any unauthorized use or reproduction of The Daily Star… -
District Treasury Bandipora concludes Four-Day JKIFMS Training ProgBandipora :District Treasury Bandipora Saturday concluded a four-day training programme on the implementation of the JKIFMS e-Bill, e-Voucher, e-Receipt and e-A Bandipora :District Treasury Bandipora Saturday concluded a four-day training… -
Farmers face £5,000 ‘farm truck tax’ threat as Treasury weighs new levyBritish farmers and rural households could face thousands of pounds in additional vehicle taxes under proposals being considered by the Treasury, prompting warnings that the Government risks penalising the countryside ahead of the Budget… -
iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF $GOVT Stock: Gibbs Wealth Management Grows HoldingsGibbs Wealth Management raised its stake in iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (BATS:GOVT – Free Report) by 12.8% during the 3rd quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)… -
US Treasury moves to curb AI, chip and biotech deals in China and RussiaTreasury’s draft outbound investment rule adds biotech, Russia and Iran to US curbs on tech deals, and swaps ‘AI’ for ‘super intelligence’. Comments close on 7 December. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent at a White House press briefing in… -
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF $SGOV Shares Acquired by Gibbs Wealth ManagementPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 25th, 2026 Shares of NYSE:SGOV opened at $100.66 on Friday. iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF has a 52-week low of $100.27 and a 52-week high of $100.73. The stock’s 50-day simple moving average is…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions