NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)

Polymarket Sports › F1 & racing Closes Nov 21 · $1.3K today · $25.4K traded · $5.6K at stake · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

40%Justin Allgaier
  • Justin Allgaier40%▲ 8
  • Jesse Love35%▼ 13
  • Austin Hill4%▲ 3
  • Carson Kvapil4%
  • Sheldon Creed4%
  • Corey Day4%▼ 1
  • Brandon Jones3%▲ 2
  • Sam Mayer2%▼ 7
  • Taylor Gray2%▲ 1
  • Rajah Caruth2%▼ 1
  • Parker Retzlaff1%
  • Sammy Smith1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Justin Allgaier: 17% on Oct 20, 40% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 11 PM ETJustin Allgaier: 29% → 24%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 21, 8 PM ETJustin Allgaier: 18% → 40%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Justin Allgaier 40% ▲ 8 40¢ 48¢ $2.08 $11.7K
Jesse Love 35% ▼ 13 35¢ 43¢ $2.34 $3.1K
Austin Hill 4% ▲ 3 1¢ 8¢ $12.05 $193
Carson Kvapil 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.49 $1.9K
Sheldon Creed 4% 0¢ 8¢ $13.33 $6.7K
Corey Day 4% ▼ 1 0¢ 8¢ $13.16 $665
Brandon Jones 3% ▲ 2 1¢ 5¢ $19.23 $170
Sam Mayer 2% ▼ 7 0¢ 5¢ $20.41 $215
Taylor Gray 2% ▲ 1 0¢ 4¢ $23.81 $193
Rajah Caruth 2% ▼ 1 0¢ 3¢ $33.33 $202
Parker Retzlaff 1% 0¢ 1¢ $71.43 $255
Sammy Smith 1% ▼ 1 0¢ 1¢ $83.33 $127
William Sawalich <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00
Brent Crews <1% ▼ 3 92¢ $1.09
Ryan Sieg <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00
Anthony Alfredo <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00
Brennan Poole <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00
Dean Thompson <1% ▼ 4 90¢ $1.11
Jeremy Clements <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00
Harrison Burton <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion

43%Justin Allgaier
  • Justin Allgaier43%▲ 10
  • Jesse Love39%▼ 9
  • Corey Day4%▼ 4
  • Carson Kvapil3%▲ 2
36 more
  • Sheldon Creed2%
  • Sam Mayer1%
  • Austin Hill1%
  • Taylor Gray1%
  • Garrett Smithley<1%
  • Ryan Ellis<1%
  • Luke Fenhaus<1%
  • Josh Bilicki<1%
  • Sammy Smith<1%
  • William Sawalich<1%
  • Giovanni Ruggiero<1%
  • Brandon Jones<1%
  • Harrison Burton<1%
  • Nicholas Sanchez<1%
  • Dean Thompson<1%
  • Jeb Burton<1%
  • Kyle Sieg<1%
  • Cody Ware<1%
  • Blaine Perkins<1%
  • Ross Chastain<1%
  • Joey Gase<1%
  • Ryan Sieg<1%
  • Nick Leitz<1%
  • Brennan Poole<1%
  • Lavar Scott<1%
  • Patrick Staropoli<1%
  • Jeremy Clements<1%
  • Chad Finchum<1%
  • Austin Green<1%
  • Rajah Caruth<1%
  • Mason Maggio<1%
  • Josh Williams<1%
  • Anthony Alfredo<1%
  • Parker Retzlaff<1%
  • Dawson Cram<1%
  • Brent Crews<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 9 · $1.1K today · $41.5K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts, Justin Allgaier, Jesse Love

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions