Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner

Polymarket Sports › NFL Closes Feb 28, 2027 · $782 today · $27.7K traded · $4.9K at stake · prices read just now

The odds

25%Arvell Reese
  • Arvell Reese25%▲ 7
  • David Bailey25%
  • Sonny Styles9%▼ 2
  • Malachi Lawrence4%
  • Mansoor Delane3%
  • Caleb Downs3%
  • Rueben Bain Jr.2%
  • Akheem Mesidor1%

How the odds have moved

Arvell Reese: 24% on Oct 20, 25% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 27, 10 AM ETArvell Reese: 20% → 25%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 20, 10 PM ETArvell Reese: 24% → 15%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Arvell Reese 25% ▲ 7 23¢ 28¢ $3.60 $6.9K
David Bailey 25% 23¢ 27¢ $3.70 $12K
Sonny Styles 9% ▼ 2 8¢ 11¢ $9.35 $3K
Malachi Lawrence 4% 0¢ 7¢ $14.29 $23
Mansoor Delane 3% 2¢ 5¢ $21.74 $746
Caleb Downs 3% 1¢ 5¢ $21.74 $2.1K
Rueben Bain Jr. 2% 0¢ 3¢ $32.26 $2.6K
Akheem Mesidor 1% 0¢ 2¢ $45.45 $133

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? (2026-27 season)

27%Arvell Reese
  • Arvell Reese27%▲ 5
  • David Bailey25%▲ 3
  • Jacob Rodriguez15%▲ 7
  • Sonny Styles8%▼ 4
36 more
  • Gabe Jacas4%▲ 4
  • Mansoor Delane2%▼ 1
  • Anthony Hill Jr.2%
  • Caleb Downs1%
  • Dillon Thieneman1%▼ 1
  • Rueben Bain Jr.<1%▼ 1
  • Jermod McCoy<1%
  • CJ Allen<1%
  • Emmanuel McNeil-Warren<1%
  • Cashius Howell<1%
  • Akheem Mesidor<1%▼ 1
  • Brandon Cisse<1%▼ 1
  • Peter Woods<1%
  • Keldric Faulk<1%
  • Colton Hood<1%
  • Caleb Banks<1%
  • Zion Young<1%
  • Kayden McDonald<1%
  • D'Angelo Ponds<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Treydan Stukes<1%
  • TJ Parker<1%
  • Malik Muhammad II<1%
  • Josiah Trotter<1%▼ 1
  • Hezekiah Masses<1%▼ 1
  • Malachi Lawrence<1%
  • Jaishawn Barham<1%
  • Harold Perkins Jr.<1%
  • R Mason Thomas<1%
  • Jake Golday<1%
  • Chris Johnson<1%
  • Gracen Halton<1%
  • Avieon Terrell<1%
  • Keionte Scott<1%
  • Dani Dennis-Sutton<1%
  • Derrick Moore<1%
KalshiCloses Feb 28, 2028 · $1.3K today · $154K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: AP Defensive Rookie, Pro Football, Arvell Reese

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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>99%Harry Kane
  • Harry Kane>99%▲ 30
  • Kylian Mbappé<1%▼ 18
  • Erling Haaland<1%
16 more
  • Jude Bellingham<1%
  • Ousmane Dembélé<1%
  • Lamine Yamal<1%▼ 11
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  • Rodri<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions