#3 Spotify Artist 2026

Polymarket Culture › Music Closes Jan 31, 2027 · $112 today · $46.1K traded · $5.6K at stake · prices read 41 min ago

The odds

80%Taylor Swift
  • Taylor Swift80%▲ 1
  • Drake12%▼ 3
  • Billie Eilish2%
  • Eminem1%▲ 1
  • Bad Bunny1%
  • Ariana Grande1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
  • Bruno Mars1%
  • Justin Bieber<1%
  • The Weeknd<1%

How the odds have moved

Taylor Swift: 78% on Oct 20, 80% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Taylor Swift 80% ▲ 1 75¢ 85¢ $1.18 $22.4K
Drake 12% ▼ 3 7¢ 17¢ $5.88 $14.3K
Billie Eilish 2% 0¢ 4¢ $28.57 $1.3K
Eminem 1% ▲ 1 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 $1.4K
Bad Bunny 1% 1¢ 2¢ $62.50 $1.5K
Ariana Grande 1% 0¢ 1¢ $902
Ed Sheeran 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $695
Bruno Mars 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $1K
Justin Bieber <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.3K
The Weeknd <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

#3 Artist on Spotify in 2026?

75%Taylor Swift
  • Taylor Swift75%▲ 1
  • Drake14%▼ 2
  • The Weeknd3%▲ 2
  • Bruno Mars2%
8 more
  • Bad Bunny1%
  • Chappell Roan1%
  • Justin Bieber1%
  • Michael Jackson1%
  • BTS1%
  • Kendrick Lamar<1%
  • Morgan Wallen<1%
  • Beyoncé<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 30 · $72 today · $9.2K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Spotify Artist, Taylor Swift, Billie Eilish

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99%Armenia
  • Armenia99%▲ 56
  • Albania<1%▼ 1
  • Azerbaijan<1%▼ 1
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  • Croatia<1%▼ 2
  • Cyprus<1%▼ 4
  • France<1%▼ 13
  • Georgia<1%▼ 6
  • Ireland<1%▼ 14
  • Italy<1%▼ 1
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  • Spain<1%▼ 25
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68%JAY-Z
  • JAY-Z68%▼ 9
  • Beyoncé27%▲ 10
  • Miley Cyrus12%▼ 6
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  • Lady Gaga8%▲ 4
  • Taylor Swift7%▲ 3
  • Justin Bieber6%▼ 1
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  • Sabrina Carpenter2%▲ 1
  • Ella Langley2%▲ 1
  • Oasis2%
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  • Doja Cat2%
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  • Foo Fighters2%
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  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Cardi B2%
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  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
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KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $6.2K today
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Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

100%Rauw Alejandro
  • Rauw Alejandro100%
  • SZA100%
  • PinkPantheress100%
127 more
  • Cardi B100%
  • Lana Del Rey88%▲ 17
  • Young Thug75%▲ 1
  • Dua Lipa74%▼ 2
  • Don Toliver74%▲ 1
  • Kodak Black72%▲ 5
  • Kali Uchis57%▼ 2
  • Doechii55%▲ 14
  • Lil Uzi Vert50%▼ 1
  • Lil Wayne49%▲ 6
  • Bad Bunny46%▼ 9
  • 21 Savage45%▼ 19
  • Ella Langley44%▲ 1
  • Ice Spice42%
  • J Balvin39%▼ 2
  • Anuel AA38%▲ 3
  • T-Pain38%▼ 1
  • Lil Yachty37%▲ 1
  • The Weeknd37%▲ 1
  • Charli xcx37%▼ 1
  • Megan Thee Stallion35%▼ 1
  • KAROL G34%
  • Bruno Mars33%▲ 1
  • Tyler, The Creator33%▲ 1
  • Drake32%▼ 1
  • Sabrina Carpenter31%▼ 1
  • Imagine Dragons31%▲ 22
  • Justin Bieber28%▼ 1
  • The Kid LAROI28%▲ 3
  • Quavo27%▲ 5
  • ROSALÍA27%▼ 1
  • Sexyy Red27%▼ 1
  • Ozuna26%▼ 1
  • Nicki Minaj26%▲ 3
  • JAY-Z26%▲ 1
  • Post Malone25%▲ 1
  • Pharrell Williams24%▼ 1
  • Tyla24%▲ 1
  • Eminem24%▼ 2
  • Doja Cat24%
  • Jason Derulo20%
  • Katy Perry20%▲ 13
  • Leon Thomas20%▼ 1
  • Shaboozey20%
  • Calvin Harris19%▼ 1
  • YoungBoy Never Broke Again19%▲ 7
  • Billie Eilish19%▼ 2
  • Coldplay19%▼ 1
  • Chris Brown18%▼ 1
  • Offset18%
  • 2 Chainz17%
  • Bryson Tiller17%
  • Kendrick Lamar17%▼ 4
  • Lil Baby17%
  • Guns N' Roses17%
  • Lola Young16%
  • Miley Cyrus16%▼ 1
  • The Marías15%▼ 3
  • Luke Combs14%▼ 1
  • Zach Bryan14%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Dec 30 · $4K today
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Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31

75%Housewife - Tate McRae
  • Housewife - Tate McRae75%▼ 19
  • Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley10%▲ 4
  • Patient Zero - Taylor Swift<1%
4 more
  • Boston - Stella Lefty<1%
  • Been By Now - Morgan Wallen<1%
  • Solar Eclipse - Drake & Don Toliver<1%
  • expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions