Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Polymarket Finance › IPOs & deals Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $4.9K today · $104K traded · $7.4K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

92%Goldman Sachs
  • Goldman Sachs92%▲ 86
  • Morgan Stanley4%▼ 73
  • Bank of America1%
  • Wells Fargo<1%
  • Barclays<1%
  • JPMorgan<1%
  • UBS<1%
  • Deutsche Bank<1%
  • Citigroup<1%

How the odds have moved

Goldman Sachs: 16% on Oct 20, 92% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 26, 11 PM ETGoldman Sachs: 6% → 92%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Goldman Sachs 92% ▲ 86 89¢ 94¢ $1.06 $31.2K
Morgan Stanley 4% ▼ 73 2¢ 6¢ $17.86 $29.6K
Bank of America 1% 1¢ $90.91 $6.3K
Wells Fargo <1% 0¢ 0¢ $3.8K
Barclays <1% 0¢ $4.5K
JPMorgan <1% 0¢ 0¢ $12.3K
UBS <1% 0¢ $4.5K
Deutsche Bank <1% 0¢ $6K
Citigroup <1% 0¢ $5.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Anthropic, Claude, Lead Bank

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In which month will Anthropic IPO?

86%November 2026
  • November 202686%▲ 25
  • December 20268%▼ 16
  • January 20273%▼ 3
13 more
  • April 20271%▼ 2
  • March 20271%▼ 3
  • May 20271%▼ 1
  • October 20261%▼ 1
  • February 2027<1%▼ 1
  • June 2027<1%
  • No IPO before 2028<1%▼ 1
  • July 2027<1%
  • August 2027<1%
  • September 2027<1%
  • October 2027<1%
  • November 2027<1%
  • December 2027<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions