MLB: AL Manager of the Year

Polymarket Sports › MLB Closes Dec 31 · $407 today · $92.3K traded · $6.6K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

The odds

86%Will Venable
  • Will Venable86%▲ 3
  • Kevin Cash12%▲ 1
  • Stephen Vogt<1%
  • Craig Albernaz<1%
  • Alex Cora<1%
  • A.J. Hinch<1%
  • Derek Shelton<1%
  • Skip Schumaker<1%
  • Aaron Boone<1%
  • Dan Wilson<1%
  • Joe Espada<1%
  • John Schneider<1%
4 more
  • Kurt Suzuki<1%
  • Mark Kotsay<1%
  • Matt Quatraro<1%
  • Chad Tracy<1%

How the odds have moved

Will Venable: 79% on Oct 20, 86% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 11 PM ETWill Venable: 94% → 87%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Will Venable 86% ▲ 3 86¢ 89¢ $1.12 $18.4K
Kevin Cash 12% ▲ 1 11¢ 14¢ $7.35 $27.8K
Stephen Vogt <1% 1¢ $3.3K
Craig Albernaz <1% 0¢ $4.1K
Alex Cora <1% 0¢ 0¢ $16.9K
A.J. Hinch <1% 0¢ $1.8K
Derek Shelton <1% 0¢ $3K
Skip Schumaker <1% 0¢ $1.9K
Aaron Boone <1% 0¢ $1K
Dan Wilson <1% 0¢ $7K
Joe Espada <1% 0¢ $1.1K
John Schneider <1% 0¢ $1K
Kurt Suzuki <1% 0¢ $897
Mark Kotsay <1% 0¢ $2.6K
Matt Quatraro <1% 0¢ $802
Chad Tracy <1% 0¢ $539

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

AL Manager of the Year Winner (2026 season)

87%Will Venable
  • Will Venable87%▲ 3
  • Kevin Cash10%▲ 1
  • Chad Tracy1%
  • Mark Kotsay<1%
13 more
  • Craig Albernaz<1%
  • Alex Cora<1%
  • Stephen Vogt<1%
  • A.J. Hinch<1%
  • Joe Espada<1%
  • Matt Quatraro<1%
  • Kurt Suzuki<1%
  • Derek Shelton<1%
  • Aaron Boone<1%
  • Dan Wilson<1%
  • Skip Schumaker<1%
  • John Schneider<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 8 · $247 today · $123K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: AL Manager, Will Venable, Kevin Cash

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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

>99%Harry Kane
  • Harry Kane>99%▲ 30
  • Kylian Mbappé<1%▼ 18
  • Erling Haaland<1%
16 more
  • Jude Bellingham<1%
  • Ousmane Dembélé<1%
  • Lamine Yamal<1%▼ 11
  • Vinícius Júnior<1%
  • Michael Olise<1%
  • Declan Rice<1%
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%
  • Vitinha<1%
  • Achraf Hakimi<1%
  • Bruno Fernandes<1%
  • Luis Diaz<1%
  • Lautaro Martinez<1%
  • Lionel Messi<1%▼ 1
  • Rodri<1%
  • Pau Cubarsi<1%
  • Fabian Ruiz<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions