The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Sal Stewart
83%
▼ 1
82¢
84¢
$1.20
$84.7K
Carson Benge
14%
▼ 1
13¢
15¢
$6.67
$23.8K
Nolan McLean
1%
1¢
1¢
$15K
JJ Wetherholt
1%
0¢
1¢
$47.2K
Konnor Griffin
<1%
0¢
$22.1K
Bubba Chandler
<1%
0¢
$125K
Moises Ballesteros
<1%
0¢
$2.8K
Owen Caissie
<1%
0¢
$565K
Justin Crawford
<1%
0¢
$2.3K
Andrew Painter
<1%
0¢
$1K
Didier Fuentes
<1%
0¢
$201K
Bryce Eldridge
<1%
0¢
$7.9K
Rhett Lowder
<1%
0¢
$1.5K
Jett Williams
<1%
0¢
$1.5K
Ryan Waldschmidt
<1%
0¢
$832
Jonah Tong
<1%
0¢
$775
Logan Henderson
<1%
0¢
$2.5K
Robby Snelling
<1%
0¢
$960
Charlie Condon
<1%
0¢
$687
Zac Veen
<1%
0¢
$1.9K
TJ Rumfield
<1%
0¢
$4K
Esmerlyn Valdez
<1%
0¢
$231
A.J. Ewing
<1%
0¢
$3.2K
Joshua Baez
<1%
0¢
$251
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Tarik Skubal Predicted to Join NL East Team Amid Free Agency FrenzyHEAVY · 20 h agoTarik Skubal is going to be the top starting pitcher available in free agency this winter. He has won back-to-back American League Cy Young awards and will be highly sought after, which should make for a very interesting several weeks…
Rays' Liam Hicks: Launches two-run homerCBS Sports · 2 days agoNick Kurtz remains at the top despite his thumb injury. Miguel Vargas, Sal Stewart and Ben Rice check in inside the top five. How high does Vladimir Guerrero Jr. rank? We're expecting big breakouts from Jac Caglianone and Bryce Eldridge!…
Brewers' Aaron Ashby: Locks down Game 2CBS Sports · 2 days agoNick Kurtz remains at the top despite his thumb injury. Miguel Vargas, Sal Stewart and Ben Rice check in inside the top five. How high does Vladimir Guerrero Jr. rank? We're expecting big breakouts from Jac Caglianone and Bryce Eldridge!…
Freddy Peralta still is not sure what went wrong with the MetsamNewYork · 46 h agoFreddy Peralta is a good pitcher. In fact, he’s one of the best pitchers in all of baseball. It’s almost shocking where Peralta is now, considering where he was just three months ago. After going 17-6 with a 2.70 ERA last season in…
How David Stearns' Mets can earn an A+ offseason before the MLB lockoutFanSided · 4 days agoTo say that the New York Mets' 2026 season was a failure would be an understatement. Fresh off their 2025 collapse, expectations were postseason or bust for this year's version. But a 12-game losing streak in April nuked this hopes almost…
Royals' Easton McGee: Booted off 40-man rosterCBS Sports · 4 days agoNick Kurtz remains at the top despite his thumb injury. Miguel Vargas, Sal Stewart and Ben Rice check in inside the top five. How high does Vladimir Guerrero Jr. rank? We're expecting big breakouts from Jac Caglianone and Bryce Eldridge!…
Royals' Mason Black: Scrubbed from 40-man rosterCBS Sports · 4 days agoNick Kurtz remains at the top despite his thumb injury. Miguel Vargas, Sal Stewart and Ben Rice check in inside the top five. How high does Vladimir Guerrero Jr. rank? We're expecting big breakouts from Jac Caglianone and Bryce Eldridge!…
Mets Morning News: World Series begins tonightAmazin' Avenue · 4 days agoLaura Albanese graded the Mets’ players, president of baseball operations, and manager, giving Carson Benge an A+, Andy Green an A, and David Stearns a D- in the process. The Good Phight wonders whether a new hitting coach and better use…
Reds’ Sal Stewart Named Sporting News Rookie of the YearRedleg Nation · 5 days agoThose are just the counting stats, though. Stewart was good across the board in his rate stats, too. The rookie infielder hit .263/.330/.457 for Cincinnati during the season. His .787 OPS translated to a 117 OPS+ (which is OPS after…
Grading Jonathan India’s Kansas City Royals TenureYahoo Sports · 5 days agoThe Kansas City Royals needed a leadoff hitter and an on-base presence to take some pressure off Bobby Witt Jr. Jonathan India was supposed to be that guy. Two seasons later, he is heading to free agency, and Kansas City is likely going to…
Cincinnati Reds Star Sal Stewart Slighted (again) in Latest Rookie RankingsCincinnati Reds On SI · 6 days agoFeels like we have been here before. Sal Stewart objectively had one of the best rookie campaigns in Cincinnati Reds history, but it feels like many outlets overlook his 2026 season. First, Bleacher Report ranked him the 6th-best rookie in…
Grading the 2026 Mets: What letter did David Stearns receive?Newsday · 5 days agoMets president of baseball operations David Stearns speaks to reporters during his end-of-the-season news conference Sep. 28, 2026, at Citi Field. Credit: Jeff Bachner If this were college, the Mets would have flunked out by the second…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
