F1: Action of the Year

Polymarket Sports › More sports Closes Dec 31 · $71 today · $192K traded · $8.6K at stake · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

51%Max Verstappen

Max Verstappen51%▼ 1
Kimi Antonelli27%▲ 1
Lewis Hamilton7%
Franco Colapinto3%
Oscar Piastri2%
Alexander Albon2%
Liam Lawson2%
Lando Norris2%
Oliver Bearman2%
Isack Hadjar2%
Fernando Alonso2%
Pierre Gasly1%

10 more

Gabriel Bortoleto1%
George Russell1%
Arvid Lindblad1%
Sergio Perez1%
Esteban Ocon1%
Valtteri Bottas1%
Charles Leclerc1%
Carlos Sainz<1%▼ 1
Nico Hulkenberg<1%
Lance Stroll<1%

How the odds have moved

Max Verstappen: 53% on Oct 20, 51% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Max Verstappen	51%	▼ 1	51¢	55¢	$1.83	$3.2K
Kimi Antonelli	27%	▲ 1	27¢	30¢	$3.33	$19.2K
Lewis Hamilton	7%		6¢	10¢	$10.31	$1.8K
Franco Colapinto	3%		1¢	5¢	$19.23	$1.2K
Oscar Piastri	2%		1¢	5¢	$20.41	$899
Alexander Albon	2%		1¢	3¢	$37.04	$3.4K
Liam Lawson	2%		1¢	3¢	$33.33	$586
Lando Norris	2%		2¢	2¢	$52.63	$715
Oliver Bearman	2%		0¢	4¢	$27.78	$29.7K
Isack Hadjar	2%		0¢	4¢	$28.57	$803
Fernando Alonso	2%		2¢	2¢	$55.56	$23.6K
Pierre Gasly	1%		1¢	2¢	$47.62	$26.7K
Gabriel Bortoleto	1%		0¢	3¢	$34.48	$614
George Russell	1%		0¢	3¢	$34.48	$840
Arvid Lindblad	1%		1¢	1¢	$76.92	$528
Sergio Perez	1%		1¢	1¢	$83.33	$27.3K
Esteban Ocon	1%		0¢	2¢	$55.56	$622
Valtteri Bottas	1%		0¢	2¢	$58.82	$43.5K
Charles Leclerc	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$762
Carlos Sainz	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	1¢		$4.4K
Nico Hulkenberg	<1%		0¢	1¢		$693
Lance Stroll	<1%		0¢	1¢		$724

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Formula 1, Grand Prix, Action

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Kimi Antonelli wins U.S. Grand Prix in Texas, putting him on the brink of F1 championshipNBC News · 35 h agoAUSTIN, Texas — Kimi Antonelli won the U.S. Grand Prix on Sunday with a dominant lights-to-flag drive, putting him on the brink of becoming the 2026 Formula 1 world champion. The 20-year-old Mercedes driver fell just short of clinching the…
F1 returns to Austin—Here’s how to watch the US Grand Prix 2026 for freeYahoo Sports · 47 h agoThe Americas leg of the 2026 F1 season begins today with the 2026 United States Grand Prix. The 54th running of the U.S. Grand Prix will take place at the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas. The 3.426 mile-course features 20 turns…
Max Verstappen rages at 'idiot' former teammate during frustrating United States Grand PrixF1 Oversteer · 35 h agoMax Verstappen’s hopes of a third consecutive win ebbed away during Sunday’s United States Grand Prix in Austin. Verstappen, lining up second, was expected to attack polesitter Kimi Antonelli into turn one, but he ended up driving…
Max Verstappen and Isack Hadjar ready to take the fight to Kimi Antonelli for United States Grand Prix victorygrandprix247.com · 47 h agoMax Verstappen and Isack Hadjar will start P2 and P3 for today's US GP, giving Red Bull a double opportunity to challenge pole-sitter Kimi Antonelli for victory Max Verstappen and Isack Hadjar ready to take the fight to Kimi Antonelli for…
Lando Norris' days as Formula 1 World Champion will be numbered after the United States Grand Prixgrandprix247.com · 47 h agoLando Norris faces the mathematical end of his reign as F1 World Champion in today's United States Grand Prix, unless a miracle in his favour occurs COTA ... Lando Norris' days as Formula 1 World Champion will be numbered after the United…
Lewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen disagree over F1’s plan to hold Grands Prix in Qatar and Abu DhabiF1 Oversteer · 39 h agoLewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen have disagreed over whether F1 should continue to attempt to hold the 2026 editions of the Qatar Grand Prix and Abu Dhabi Grand Prix amid the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. As tension across the…
United States Grand Prix Qualifying: Kimi Antonelli denies Max Verstappen, Ferrari falters when it mattersgrandprix247.com · 2 days agoFormula 1 Championship leader Kimi Antonelli took pole for the 2026 United States Grand Prix beating Red Bull Racing's Max Verstappen as Ferrari lost steam when it mattered. United States Grand Prix Qualifying: Kimi Antonelli denies Max…
Max Verstappen on painkillers to combat COTA bumps amid back issues at F1 US Grand PrixCrash.net · 2 days agoMax Verstappen admits he is taking painkillers to deal with the "impossible" bumps at COTA. Max Verstappen has revealed he is having to take painkillers to deal with the “impossible” bumps on the track that hosts the Formula 1 United…
US Grand Prix: Reported F1 Upgrades for Every Team at AustinYahoo Sports · 2 days agoSeven of the 11 teams have declared new components for the 2026 Formula 1 United States Grand Prix. Notably, three of the four front-running teams are bringing in upgrades. Red Bull has won four of the last five races here. Let's see if…
United States Grand Prix: Formula 1 Teams & Drivers report from Qualifying at COTA in Austingrandprix247.com · 2 days agoTeams and Drivers report from Qualifying for the United States Grand Prix, Round 18 of the 2026 Formula 1 World Championship, at Circuit of the Americas. United States Grand Prix: Formula 1 Teams & Drivers report from Qualifying at COTA in…
United States Grand Prix: Formula One – livethe Guardian · 38 h ago🏎️ Updates from Austin; race start 3pm CDT/8pm GMT 🏎️ Antonelli seizes US GP poll | Mail Tom with your thoughts On the US broadcast, Apple has decided to bring on as its expert … Apple CEO John Ternus. We find out that he likes driving and…
The FIA's Dakar Rally decision shows Max Verstappen was right all along about Qatar and Abu DhabiF1 Oversteer · 40 h agoIt is still not clear whether Formula 1 will visit Qatar and Abu Dhabi this season amid growing tension in the Middle East. This season’s Bahrain Grand Prix was held in Malaysia as a result of ongoing conflict, while the Saudi Arabian…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$192K

Today$71

This week$1.4K

At stake$8.6K

In the news2 headlines today, 41 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting m

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions

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