MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Polymarket Sports › MLB Closes Dec 31 · $1 today · $1.1M traded · $14.6K at stake · prices read just now

The odds

95%Yordan Alvarez
  • Yordan Alvarez95%
  • Junior Caminero2%
  • Cam Schlittler2%
  • Bobby Witt Jr.<1%
  • Ben Rice<1%
  • Jose Ramirez<1%
  • Aaron Judge<1%
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<1%
  • Cal Raleigh<1%
  • Gunnar Henderson<1%
  • Corey Seager<1%
  • Mike Trout<1%
8 more
  • Julio Rodriguez<1%
  • Nick Kurtz<1%
  • Dillon Dingler<1%
  • Byron Buxton<1%
  • Wilson Contreras<1%
  • Munetaka Murakami<1%
  • Pete Alonso<1%
  • Miguel Vargas<1%

How the odds have moved

Yordan Alvarez: 96% on Oct 20, 95% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yordan Alvarez 95% 95¢ 97¢ $1.03 $54.8K
Junior Caminero 2% 2¢ 3¢ $38.46 $6K
Cam Schlittler 2% 1¢ 2¢ $41.67 $1.8K
Bobby Witt Jr. <1% 0¢ 1¢ $24K
Ben Rice <1% 0¢ 0¢ $3.5K
Jose Ramirez <1% 0¢ $2.3K
Aaron Judge <1% 0¢ $9K
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. <1% 0¢ $2.7K
Cal Raleigh <1% 0¢ $559K
Gunnar Henderson <1% 0¢ $27K
Corey Seager <1% 0¢ $311K
Mike Trout <1% 0¢ $442
Julio Rodriguez <1% 0¢ $43.4K
Nick Kurtz <1% 0¢ $5.3K
Dillon Dingler <1% 0¢ $847
Byron Buxton <1% 0¢ $792
Wilson Contreras <1% 0¢ $274
Munetaka Murakami <1% 0¢ $580
Pete Alonso <1% 0¢ $169
Miguel Vargas <1% 0¢ $92

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

AL MVP Winner (2026 season)

96%Yordan Álvarez
  • Yordan Álvarez96%
  • Cam Schlittler1%
  • Aaron Judge<1%
  • Bobby Witt Jr.<1%
45 more
  • Cal Raleigh<1%
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<1%
  • Gunnar Henderson<1%
  • Julio Rodríguez<1%
  • Nick Kurtz<1%
  • José Ramírez<1%
  • Roman Anthony<1%
  • Junior Caminero<1%▼ 1
  • Pete Alonso<1%
  • Jeremy Peña<1%
  • Corey Seager<1%
  • Carlos Correa<1%
  • Cody Bellinger<1%
  • Zach Neto<1%
  • Wyatt Langford<1%
  • Byron Buxton<1%
  • Alejandro Kirk<1%
  • Adley Rutschman<1%
  • Jo Adell<1%
  • Tarik Skubal<1%
  • Garrett Crochet<1%
  • Riley Greene<1%
  • Jacob Wilson<1%
  • Jackson Holliday<1%
  • Maikel García<1%
  • Josh Naylor<1%
  • Mike Trout<1%
  • Jose Altuve<1%
  • Steven Kwan<1%
  • Yandy Diaz<1%
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.<1%
  • George Springer<1%
  • Jarren Duran<1%
  • Ben Rice<1%
  • Randy Arozarena<1%
  • Trevor Story<1%
  • Daulton Varsho<1%
  • Brent Rooker<1%
  • Colson Montgomery<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Shea Langeliers<1%
  • Munetaka Murakami<1%
  • Dillon Dingler<1%
  • Miguel Vargas<1%
  • Ceddanne Rafaela<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 8 · $1.8K today · $603K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: MVP, AL MVP, Yordan Alvarez

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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

62%Harry Kane
  • Harry Kane62%▼ 9
  • Kylian Mbappé33%▲ 17
  • Lamine Yamal6%▼ 7
16 more
  • Lionel Messi<1%▼ 1
  • Ousmane Dembélé<1%
  • Rodri<1%
  • Erling Haaland<1%
  • Jude Bellingham<1%
  • Vinícius Júnior<1%
  • Michael Olise<1%
  • Declan Rice<1%
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%
  • Vitinha<1%
  • Achraf Hakimi<1%
  • Bruno Fernandes<1%
  • Luis Diaz<1%
  • Lautaro Martinez<1%
  • Pau Cubarsi<1%
  • Fabian Ruiz<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions