PA-11 House Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › House Closes Nov 3 · $67.4K traded · $5.4K at stake · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

95%Lloyd Smucker (R)
  • Lloyd Smucker (R)95%
  • Nancy Mannion (D)5%

How the odds have moved

Lloyd Smucker (R): 96% on Oct 20, 95% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Lloyd Smucker (R) 95% 95¢ 95¢ $1.05 $47.5K
Nancy Mannion (D) 5% 4¢ 6¢ $17.86 $19.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: PA- House

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  • Advocates say Pa. cellphone ban is a step toward protecting kidsWPSU · 3 days agoAdvocates say a soon-to-be new Pennsylvania law banning cellphones in school will help students focus on learning and interacting with their peers. The state Senate this week passed the final version of a bill requiring the implementation…
  • ‘Brave’ Bob Brooks Bravely Runs Away From PA House Debateiotwreport.com · 4 days agoBob Brooks, the Bernie Bro Democrat candidate in PA-7, bailed on the only scheduled debate... Bob Brooks, the Bernie Bro Democrat candidate in PA-7, bailed on the only scheduled debate between him and Republican Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (PA-7)…
  • Election 2026: Candidates stake out positions in in 147th Dist. PA House raceThe Mercury · 4 days agoA former management consultant with an MBA and scientist with a Ph.D. is looking to oust the incumbent Republican in the race for the Pennsylvania 147th House District race. Margaret Burke, 58, is the Democratic candidate seeking to unseat…
  • PA House and Senate pass ban on phones in schools, recent study suggests the effects will be minimal - Glenside LocalGlenside Local · 4 days agoOctober 22nd, 2026 | By Ryan Genova The Pennsylvania House and Senate have passed a bell-to-bell ban on cellphones in schools. The Senate approved Senate Bill 1014 47-3 on Wednesday after the State House passed it earlier this week by a…
  • PA House Approves Support For Shrinking News Operations Across StatePittsburgh · 4 days agoHARRISBURG, PA —The state House has approved a legislative package intended to help support struggling and shrinking news operations across Pennsylvania. Approved on Wednesday were two measures introduced by Christopher Rabb, a…
  • "All Sides Now:" Pa. House District 143BucksCountyHerald.com · 4 days agoThe candidates running in the 2026 Pa. House District 143 are, from left, Democrat Tim Hayes, independent Christopher Gambino and Republican Shelby Labs. It's a right-leaning district, according to the most recent voter registration data…
  • "Both Sides Now:" Pa. House District 141BucksCountyHerald.com · 4 days agoDemocrat Tina Marie Davis and Republican Kenneth James Velez are running for state representative in Pennsylvania House District 141 in 2026. The district leans to the left with 22,216 voters registering as Democrats and 14,444 registered…
  • Gov. Shapiro Signs 58 New Laws Governing AI, Day Care Centers, Renters & MorePittsburgh · 4 days agoHere are the details on some of Pennsylvania's 58 new laws. Gov. Shapiro Signs 58 New Laws Governing AI, Day Care Centers, Renters & More Here are the details on some of Pennsylvania's 58 new laws. HARRISBURG, PA —Gov. Josh Shapiro's hand…
  • Pa. House passes bill to limit automatic license plate readersCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pa. House…
  • Pa. House advances bills limiting student cellphone use and Flock-like camerasWPSU · 5 days agoPublic and private schools across the commonwealth could soon be required to draft universal bell-to-bell cellphone bans for students. The state House passed a measure, with a handful of exceptions for learning and medical needs. The…
  • Eagles fans send Jalen Hurts letters after blood clot diagnosisCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Eagles fans…
  • PA House passed e-scooter legislation yesterdayTri-State Alert · 5 days agoAlmost every town in the country has been talking about electronic bicycles recently. They move fast and they’re almost the size of a bicycle, sometimes with much bigger wheels. In Chambersburg and other local Boroughs, any ordinance will…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions