Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
91%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party91%▼ 1
- Republican Party9%▲ 1
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NY-03 House winner? (2026)
The odds
92%Tom Suozzi
- Tom Suozzi92%
- Mike LiPetri8%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Tom Suozzi: 91% on Oct 20, 92% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Suozzi | 92% | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 106.2K | |
| Mike LiPetri | 8% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 9¢ | $10.99 | 102.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NY- House, Tom Suozzi, Mike LiPetri
Search ›- Rep. Tom Suozzi snubbed by Long Island hometown cops as union backs GOP opponentLong Island Rep. Tom Suozzi was snubbed by cops in his own hometown — who ditched him to endorse Republican Michael LiPetri instead. The Glen Cove City Police Benevolent Association changed course after supporting the incumbent Democrat…
- Takeaways from the debate between Rep. Tom Suozzi and challenger Mike LiPetriRep. Tom Suozzi (D-Glen Cove), left, and Mike LiPetri, a former Assemblyman from Farmingdale, debate on Tuesday at the News 12 studios. Credit: News 12 Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-Glen Cove) and Republican challenger Mike LiPetri traded…
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Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seatFox News Lawler, Conley battle for competitive NY House seat Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss his heated debate against Democratic challenger Cait Conley in New York’s 17th Congressional District, the Paris… -
Republican Mike LiPetri targets Tom Suozzi in New York rematchKCBY Republican Mike LiPetri targets Tom Suozzi in New York rematch -
NYS worker caught on video removing GOP lawn sign — but officials say he followed the lawViral images show Department of Transportation employee in a reflective vest pulling a “Mike LiPetri for Congress” sign out of the ground and tossing it into the back of a government truck in Oyster Bay. The images sparked outrage from… - Long Island Dem Tom Suozzi blows off Hochul campaign event as party snubs mountRep. Tom Suozzi will snub a Long Island campaign event with Gov. Kathy Hochul on Saturday because of a scheduling clash — as other down-ballot New York Democrats distance themselves from the unpopular Empire State leader. Suozzi’s campaign…
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Over 500 Indian Americans Unite in Support of Congressman Tom SuozziUNIONDALE, NY (TIP): More than 500 Indian Americans, including prominent community leaders representing a broad cross-section of the Indian American diaspora, gathered Tuesday evening, October 13, at the Long Island Marriott in Uniondale… -
Breast Cancer Beauty ProductsNews12 | Long Island This is a modal window. Breast Cancer Beauty Products October is Breast Cancer Awareness Month and it's a time to come together and support a cause that touches so many lives. Lifestyle and Beauty Expert Lara Eurdolian… - Suspicious substance found in envelope at Rep. Tom Suozzi's office in QueensAuthorities responded to the Queens office of Rep. Tom Suozzi on Friday after the Glen Cove Democrat became one of the latest members of Congress to receive an envelope with a suspicious substance. Credit: Newsday/Joseph Ostapiuk Suozzi…
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Election hopefuls on the ballot in QueensWhether they head out to the polls on Nov. 3 or cast their ballots in advance, Queens voters have a lot to weigh in on this Election Day. Voters across Queens will soon start making their picks for governor, attorney general, state Senate… -
The 2026 congressional general election races to watchCould 2026 be another “blue wave”? The answer could very well be found in New York. From the wealthiest enclaves of Long Island to the remote reaches of Northern New York, control of the House of Representatives will likely come down to a… -
NY House Rep Ritchie Torres introduces legislation to protect player ownership of gamesThe Power to the Players Act aims to 'establish regulations protecting consumers' ability to own and play the video games they purchase.' The office of Ritchie Torres published a statement regarding the Power to the Players Act on October…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.