Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
March 31, 2026
<1%
0¢
$1M
June 30, 2026
<1%
0¢
$491K
September 30, 2026
<1%
0¢
$46K
December 31, 2026
3%
2¢
3¢
$33.33
$632K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Ethereum Delays Glamsterdam Testnet Fork Over Gas Security FlawsDecrypt · 2 days agoEthereum developers have postponed the planned activation of the network's Glamsterdam upgrade on its Hoodi test network after security firm ChainSecurity found problems with how the upgrade changes gas, the auditor said on Thursday. "It…
Ethereum delays Glamsterdam test after security devs flag risk to existing contracts@coindesk · 3 days agoEthereum developers have called off Monday's Glamsterdam upgrade on the Hoodi test network after security researchers identified a problem that could change how existing smart contracts handle failed transactions, potentially allowing…
SEC clears listing of Volatility Shares’ 3x Bitcoin and Ether ETFsCrypto Briefing · 9 h agoThe regulator approved a Cboe BZX rule change for six triple-leveraged products, but trading still waits on registration statements Bitcoin and Ether already move fast enough to give a cautious investor heartburn. Volatility Shares wants…
Over $815M in crypto positions liquidated as Bitcoin, Ether prices dropCrypto Briefing · 10 h agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
ARB Touches Four-Week Low as Losses Outpace Bitcoin and EtherThe Defiant · 25 h agoThe Defiant ARB Touches Four-Week Low as Losses Outpace Bitcoin and Ether OP and POL also lost more than a quarter over matched four-week windows, while Arbitrum One's active-address count rose. Our articles are stored on Filecoin. Choose…
Two Ethereum Scam Schemes ExposedDEV Community · 27 h agoEvery number below comes from our own indexed swap, liquidity and holder data, cross-checked against the public GoPlus security API, as of 24 October 2026. How one launch plays out. LEMONBOB, 1 August 2026, is typical: The same script ran…
ARB’s 24% monthly slide nearly doubles ether’sCryptopolitan · 9 h agoArbitrum’s ARB token has fallen around 24% over the last 30 days, close to double ether’s ~13% drop. Bitcoin dropped about 5% during the same time. Data from CoinGecko shows ARB reached $0.1638 on Oct. 24, its lowest price in four weeks…
Ether loses 13% in a month, Bitcoin under 5%Cryptopolitan · 9 h agoEther has fallen around 13% over the last 30 days, almost three times Bitcoin’s 4.7% decline. The token fell below $2,300 on Oct. 24. ETH traded at $2,342.08 late on October 24, down 12.96% over 30 days, CoinGecko data indicates. The…
Ethereum L2 Drops Signatures to Fight Quantum ThreatCoindoo · 6 h agoA live Ethereum layer-2 network has dropped transaction signatures entirely, and its founder has published where the design still breaks, including a front-running flaw found and fixed before publication. Ordinary Ethereum accounts…
ETH news: Ethereum’s four-minute settlement plan could lower the cost of moving crypto@coindesk · 3 days agoEthereum researchers want to cut the wait for a transaction to become final from about 16 minutes to roughly four, a change that could make it cheaper to move money between blockchains. Its initial target is a four-fold improvement, though…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
