Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ ↑ 1,750
>99%
▲ 11
100¢
100¢
$257
✓ ↑ 1,750
>99%
▲ 9
100¢
100¢
$3.2K
✓ ↑ 2,000
>99%
▲ 13
100¢
100¢
$161K
✓ ↑ 2,250
>99%
▲ 42
100¢
100¢
$648K
✓ ↑ 2,500
>99%
▲ 18
100¢
100¢
$86.3K
✓ ↑ 2,750
>99%
▲ 13
100¢
100¢
$121K
↑ 3,000
25%
24¢
25¢
$4.00
$286K
↑ 3,500
11%
▼ 1
10¢
12¢
$8.33
$1M
↑ 4,000
7%
▼ 1
6¢
8¢
$12.50
$643K
↑ 4,500
4%
4¢
4¢
$22.73
$59K
↑ 5,000
3%
3¢
3¢
$32.26
$573K
↑ 5,500
2%
2¢
3¢
$40.00
$332K
↑ 6,000
2%
2¢
2¢
$45.45
$341K
↑ 6,500
1%
1¢
2¢
$58.82
$249K
↑ 7,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$71.43
$218K
↑ 7,500
1%
1¢
1¢
$90.91
$258K
↑ 8,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$90.91
$336K
↑ 10,000
1%
1¢
1¢
$894K
↓ 500
1%
1¢
2¢
$52.63
$112K
↓ 600
1%
1¢
1¢
$3.9K
↓ 700
1%
1¢
2¢
$47.62
$12.9K
↓ 800
3%
▲ 1
2¢
3¢
$32.26
$1.7M
↓ 1,000
3%
▼ 1
3¢
4¢
$25.00
$2.4M
↓ 1,250
10%
▲ 1
9¢
10¢
$10.00
$918K
↓ 1,500
10%
9¢
10¢
$10.10
$3.3M
↓ 1,750
15%
▲ 1
14¢
16¢
$6.25
$78K
↓ 2,000
35%
▲ 4
34¢
35¢
$2.86
$597K
✓ ↓ 2,000
>99%
▲ 8
100¢
100¢
$183K
↓ 2,250
80%
▲ 5
79¢
81¢
$1.23
$1.5M
✓ ↓ 2,500
>99%
▲ 15
100¢
100¢
$372K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Ethereum Delays Glamsterdam Testnet Fork Over Gas Security FlawsDecrypt · 3 days agoEthereum developers have postponed the planned activation of the network's Glamsterdam upgrade on its Hoodi test network after security firm ChainSecurity found problems with how the upgrade changes gas, the auditor said on Thursday. "It…
Spot Bitcoin ETFs see $443M in net outflows as Ether funds bleed tooCrypto Briefing · 14 h agoUS spot Bitcoin ETFs shed $442.62 million while Ethereum ETFs lost $224.96 million in a week marked by cautious investors US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $442.62 million in net outflows, while spot Ethereum ETFs gave up $224.96 million over…
SEC clears listing of Volatility Shares’ 3x Bitcoin and Ether ETFsCrypto Briefing · 32 h agoThe regulator approved a Cboe BZX rule change for six triple-leveraged products, but trading still waits on registration statements Bitcoin and Ether already move fast enough to give a cautious investor heartburn. Volatility Shares wants…
Over $815M in crypto positions liquidated as Bitcoin, Ether prices dropCrypto Briefing · 34 h agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
Ethereum delays Glamsterdam test after security devs flag risk to existing contracts@coindesk · 4 days agoEthereum developers have called off Monday's Glamsterdam upgrade on the Hoodi test network after security researchers identified a problem that could change how existing smart contracts handle failed transactions, potentially allowing…
How to create a smart contract using EthereumIT Infrastructure · 18 h agoSmart contracts, which are programs that run on a blockchain, have transformed blockchain from a data storage technology to an application platform that allows developers to support a variety of business processes, from supply chain…
Why Are Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP Prices Falling Today?Coinpedia Fintech News · 13 h agoWriter by choice, CryptoCurrency Writer, and Researcher by chance. Currently, focusing on financial news and analysis, as well as cryptocurrency news and data. One may not call me a crypto “Enthusiast” but trust me I'm getting there…
How Traders Assess Support Levels During an Ethereum Downturn@analyticsinme · 15 h agoEthereum’s October decline has pushed traders to reassess where buyers might intervene. Rather than treating a price as a guaranteed floor, analysts compare historical lows, moving averages, trading activity, and derivatives positioning to…
ARB’s 24% monthly slide nearly doubles ether’sCryptopolitan · 33 h agoArbitrum’s ARB token has fallen around 24% over the last 30 days, close to double ether’s ~13% drop. Bitcoin dropped about 5% during the same time. Data from CoinGecko shows ARB reached $0.1638 on Oct. 24, its lowest price in four weeks…
Ether loses 13% in a month, Bitcoin under 5%Cryptopolitan · 33 h agoEther has fallen around 13% over the last 30 days, almost three times Bitcoin’s 4.7% decline. The token fell below $2,300 on Oct. 24. ETH traded at $2,342.08 late on October 24, down 12.96% over 30 days, CoinGecko data indicates. The…
Global X Ethereum Covered Call ETF declares $0.1385 weekly dividendSeeking Alpha · 6 h agoGlobal X Ethereum Covered Call ETF (EHCC) declares $0.1385/share weekly dividend. Payable Oct. 29; for shareholders of record Oct. 26; ex-div Oct. 26. - Global X Ethereum Covered Call ETF (EHCC) declares $0.1385/share weekly dividend…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
