The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
240M
3%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$1.3K
250M
3%
0¢
2¢
$58.82
$434
260M
3%
1¢
1¢
$76.92
$2.7K
270M
3%
1¢
4¢
$22.73
$7.1K
280M
3%
▼ 19
6¢
15¢
$6.67
$27.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Gold futures turn higher as crude oil prices pull backSeeking Alpha · 32 h agoGold futures rose to start the week, supported by softer oil prices, following last week's steep losses that dragged down prices to three-month lows. monsitj/iStock via Getty Images Gold futures rose Monday to start the week, supported by…
Fed policy, Q2 earnings, crude oil prices among key market triggers next weekthehansindia.com · 46 h agoStock market investors will closely track the US Federal Reserve's policy decision Mumbai: Stock market investors will closely track the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, a packed corporate earnings calendar, crude oil price movements…
Crude oil price slips from six-month highs despite supply concernsBusinessLine · 32 h agoOil prices fell on Monday after surging to near six-month highs late last week, although ongoing attacks on Saudi Arabia kept supply concerns in focus. US crude futures were down $1.60, or 1.55%, at $101.67 per barrel by 0018 GMT…
Crude oil prices, US Fed policy decision to steer rupee, bonds this weekBusinessLine · 30 h agoSoaring oil prices and the US Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision will be key drivers of the Indian rupee and government bonds this week, while domestic liquidity conditions pose an additional challenge for bonds. The rupee settled…
US Equity Futures Climb as Crude Oil Price Dips: Markets WrapSWI swissinfo.ch · 35 h ago(Bloomberg) — US stock futures advanced and crude oil retreated as traders weighed the latest geopolitical developments over Iran and looked ahead to a string of central bank rate decisions this week. Asian stocks looked set for a mixed…
Crude oil price prediction: is a $120 shock coming after Brent falls to $114?invezz.com · 28 h agoAI Sentiment: 58/100 Bullish Key Risk: Diplomacy actually holds and Middle East shipping keeps normalizing, letting inventories and refined-product stocks rebuild fast enough to cap Brent well below $120. Buy diesel crack spreads (e.g…
FPI selling stands at Rs 53,337 crore in Oct so far amid elevated crude oil pricesthehansindia.com · 2 days agoForeign portfolio investors sold Rs 53,337 crore worth of Indian equities in October so far as elevated crude oil prices, market weakness and economic pressures weighed on investor sentiment. FPI selling stands at Rs 53,337 crore in Oct so…
FPIs withdraw Rs 48,056 cr from equities in Oct so far amid elevated crude oil pricesThe Economic Times · 2 days agoForeign investors withdrew significant funds from Indian equities in October amid concerns over inflation and crude oil prices. Despite this, there were signs of moderation in selling with two days of net buying. The overall FPI outflows…
Gold gains on softer oil prices; Fed decision in focusCNBC · 28 h agoGold prices edged higher on Monday as softer oil prices tempered inflation concerns, while investors awaited the Federal Reserve's policy decision later this week. Spot gold rose 0.4% to $4,009.87 per ounce by 0342 GMT, after hitting its…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
