Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Kimi Antonelli
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$5.2M
Lando Norris
<1%
0¢
$7M
George Russell
<1%
0¢
$3.1M
Max Verstappen
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$6.6M
Charles Leclerc
<1%
0¢
$5.5M
Lewis Hamilton
<1%
0¢
$5.6M
Oscar Piastri
<1%
0¢
$6.5M
Isack Hadjar
<1%
0¢
$9.4M
Fernando Alonso
<1%
0¢
$9.1M
Lance Stroll
<1%
0¢
$11.7M
Esteban Ocon
<1%
0¢
$9.5M
Oliver Bearman
<1%
0¢
$12.9M
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
0¢
$8.5M
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
0¢
$10.9M
Pierre Gasly
<1%
0¢
$11.5M
Franco Colapinto
<1%
0¢
$12.2M
Liam Lawson
<1%
0¢
$10.7M
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
0¢
$12M
Alexander Albon
<1%
0¢
$11.9M
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
0¢
$11.1M
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
0¢
$12.2M
Sergio Pérez
<1%
0¢
$11.8M
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Kimi Antonelli seizes F1 US GP pole and chance to seal first world titlethe Guardian · 42 h agoAntonelli has 102-point lead over George Russell Needs to be 125 points in front after Sunday’s race Kimi Antonelli claimed pole position for the US Grand Prix with a hugely impressive lap for Mercedes at the Circuit of the Americas. In…
Kimi Antonelli on Pole for the US Grand PrixRoad & Track · 43 h agoAntonelli is one step closer to becoming F1’s youngest champion, starting on pole for the United States Grand Prix. Kimi Antonelli will start from pole at the United States Grand Prix at the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, the first…
F1 Fantasy: 3 Big Questions Ahead of the United States Grand PrixYahoo Sports · 46 h agoAUSTIN, Texas — Just a few hours remain until F1 Fantasy lineups lock for the United States Grand Prix. Several key decisions will decide whether our teams start the triple header on a high note, or if massive changes are needed for…
F1 practice LIVE: US Grand Prix 2026 times, results & commentary from AustinBBC Sport · 2 days agoFerrari's Lewis Hamilton fastest in US Grand Prix final practice Qualifying in Austin at 22:00 BST - build-up from 21:30 Kimi Antonelli can win world title this weekend Mercedes driver must win race with Russell ninth or lower and Hamilton…
US Grand Prix: Reported F1 Upgrades for Every Team at AustinYahoo Sports · 42 h agoSeven of the 11 teams have declared new components for the 2026 Formula 1 United States Grand Prix. Notably, three of the four front-running teams are bringing in upgrades. Red Bull has won four of the last five races here. Let's see if…
How can Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 title at the US Grand Prix?The Independent · 2 days agoThe 20-year-old Italian is within touching distance of claiming his first Formula 1 title in just his second season Kimi Antonelli is on the cusp of becoming Formula 1’s youngest-ever world champion – and he could win the 2026 drivers’…
Kimi Antonelli claims US GP pole ahead of potential F1 title coronationCrash.net · 43 h agoKimi Antonelli secures pole position ahead of Max Verstappen at the US Grand Prix. Mercedes’ Andrea Kimi Antonelli secured pole position at the United States Grand Prix on the weekend he could become Formula 1 world champion. Runaway…
George Russell jokes about stopping Kimi Antonelli’s F1 title with a night outM Sports · 43 h agoFormula 1 is as much an engineering contest as a sporting one, and that's the lens David Varela do Paço brings to his coverage for M Sports. A DNF can be as revealing as a win, a pit wall call can matter more than a lap time, and he writes…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
