How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Commodities Closes Fri 7:00 PM ET · $177 today · $2.5K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

7%85.49 or below
Crude Oil now 103.27 +3.82%
  • Falls to $85.507%
  • Falls to $854%
  • Falls to $84.504%
  • Falls to $843%
  • Falls to $83.503%
  • Falls to $833%
  • Falls to $82.502%
  • Falls to $822%

How the odds have moved

Falls to $84: 39% on Oct 2, 3% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 13, 12 AM ETFalls to $84: 38% → 21%
  2. Oct 11, 12 AM ETFalls to $84: 46% → 32%
  3. Oct 4, 12 AM ETFalls to $84: 30% → 47%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
75.99 or below 1% ▼ 1 2¢ $50.00 2.0K
76.49 or below 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 999
76.99 or below 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 1.5K
77.49 or below 2% 5¢ $20.00 2.3K
77.99 or below 2% 5¢ $20.00 707
78.49 or below 2% 5¢ $20.00 719
78.99 or below 2% 5¢ $20.00 17.0K
79.49 or below 2% 2¢ $50.00 2.2K
79.99 or below 2% 5¢ $20.00 1.4K
80.49 or below 2% 2¢ $50.00 1.6K
80.99 or below 2% 5¢ $20.00 1.5K
81.49 or below 2% 5¢ $20.00 3.1K
81.99 or below 2% 2¢ $50.00 1.0K
82.49 or below 2% ▼ 1 3¢ $33.33 2.0K
82.99 or below 3% ▲ 1 6¢ $16.67 2.3K
83.49 or below 3% ▲ 2 6¢ $16.67 2.8K
83.99 or below 3% 6¢ $16.67 5.8K
84.49 or below 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 3.4K
84.99 or below 4% ▲ 1 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 9.9K
85.49 or below 7% ▲ 3 3¢ 73¢ $1.37 12.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: oil prices, crude oil, OPEC

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions