New pandemic in 2026?
3%chance▼ 1
Install
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
The odds
67%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 67% on Oct 20, 67% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67% | ▲ 1 | 66¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 21.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Celsius
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Delhi Min Temp 17 Deg Celsius; Air 'Moderate'The minimum temperature at Ridge settled at 18.5 degrees Celsius, 1 degree below normal, while Ayanagar recorded 18 degrees Celsius, 0.8 degrees below the seasonal average. The IMD expects the maximum temperature to hover around 32 degrees… -
Naples weather today, Tuesday, October 20: sunny and 23 degrees Celsius.The weather forecast for Naples today, Tuesday, October 20, 2026 , predicts a bright morning and a grayer afternoon. The high will reach 23,2 degrees , with the low dropping to 14,9 degrees before dawn. Rain remains distant, with a maximum… -
At 17.1 Degrees Celsius, Delhi Records Chilliest Night So Far In OctoberDelhi-NCR recorded its lowest minimum temperature of the month so far on Monday, with the mercury at the Safdarjung Weather Station dropping to 17.1 degrees Celsius, 1.3 degrees below the seasonal average. The maximum temperature was… -
Delhi records lowest minimum temperature of October at 17.1 degrees Celsius as winter chill sets in20 October,2026 10:26 AM IST | New Delhi | mid-day online correspondent Delhi-NCR in the last 24 hours recorded its lowest minimum temperature of the month. The national capital on Monday recorded 17.1 degrees Celsius at the Safdarjung… -
At 17.1 Degrees Celsius, Delhi Records This Month's Coldest Night So FarDelhi recorded its coldest night so far this month on Sunday, with the minimum temperature settling at 17.1 degrees Celsius, 1.3 degrees below the season's normal, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said. The minimum temperature on… -
Silicate Armor Keeps Nanoceria Small and Stable at 850 Degrees CelsiusResearchers at Sichuan University have shown that partially converting the surface of ceria into amorphous silicates keeps crystallites at 7.1 nanometers after calcination at 850 degrees Celsius, compared with 151.2 nanometers for… -
Delhi's minimum falls to 18.6 degrees CelsiusNew Delhi, Oct 18 (PTI) Delhi recorded its lowest minimum temperature of the month on Sunday, with the mercury settling at 18.6 degrees Celsius, 0.2 degrees above the season’s average, according to the India Meteorological Department… - At 17.1 degree Celsius, Delhi records this month’s coldest night so farPublished - October 19, 2026 11:05 am IST - New Delhi Delhi recorded its coldest night so far this month on Sunday (October 18, 2026), with the minimum temperature settling at 17.1 degrees Celsius, 1.3 degrees below the season's normal…
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Naples weather today, Sunday, October 18: sunny and 22 degrees Celsius.According to Open-Meteo data read this morning, the sky will be partly cloudy or at most hazy, with large patches of sunshine over the gulf. Humidity will be lower than in recent days, and the wind will be light, with maximum gusts around… -
Ninety Minutes at 180 Degrees Celsius Turns Ordinary Niobium Oxide Into a Porous PowerhouseA parametric hydrothermal study shows niobium pentoxide converts fully into porous sodium niobate, with 180 degrees Celsius for 90 minutes delivering the highest surface area of 41.22 square meters per gram. -
Weather forecast for October 19, 2026: Ho Chi Minh City and Southern Vietnam will experience localized heavy rain, while Northern Vietnam will have sunny weather with temperatures reaching 34 degrees Celsius.Weather forecast for October 19, 2026: Northern Vietnam and Hanoi will continue to be sunny, with a maximum temperature of 34 degrees Celsius. Meanwhile, Southern Vietnam and Ho Chi Minh City may experience localized heavy rain accompanied… - Maharashtra Heatwave Yavatmal Records Maharashtras Highest Temperature At 38 4 Degrees CelsiusMaharashtra heatwave: Yavatmal records Maharashtra`s highest temperature at 38.4 degrees Celsius Mid-Day Home / Mid-Day Fast
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.