Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
49.94%median
42%66%
Median 49.94%Middle half 46.79% – 53.07%
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Mecklenburg County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
The odds
72.03%median
64%82%
Median 72.03%Middle half 70.35% – 73.7%
How the odds have moved
Median: 70.8% on Oct 19, 72.03% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 66% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 563 |
| At least 68% | 95% | ▼ 1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 70% | 80% | ▼ 2 | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 119 |
| At least 71% | 67% | ▼ 2 | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | |
| At least 72% | 51% | ▼ 3 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 146 |
| At least 74% | 21% | ▼ 2 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 1.1K |
| At least 76% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 655 | |
| At least 78% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 80% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mecklenburg County, North Carolina, Roy Cooper
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WATCH LIVE: Roy Cooper headlines Get Out the Vote concert in North CarolinaDemocratic Senate nominee Roy Cooper speaks to supporters and hosts a Get Out the Vote concert in Carrboro, North Carolina. WATCH LIVE: Roy Cooper headlines Get Out the Vote concert in North Carolina Democratic Senate nominee Roy Cooper… -
U.S Senate Race in North Carolina: Roy Cooper, Michael Whatley battle to replace Senator TillisDemocrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley are offering North Carolina voters different sets of priorities as they compete for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. Cooper’s campaign is emphasizing plans to lower costs for families… - Roy Cooper speaks with voters in Greensboro with one week of early voting left in North CarolinaDemocrat and former governor Roy Cooper spoke with voters at an early voting site in Greensboro Saturday morning as he and Republican opponent Michael Whatley drove affordability messages and attacks in the final stretch of the midterm…
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Roy Cooper Solidly Ahead in North CarolinaA new Carolina Journal/Harper Polling poll in North Carolina finds Roy Cooper (D) leading Michael Whatley (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 49% to 39%. Try Political Wire free for 60 days Members get Talking Points analysis, Trending News, the… -
Unpacking early voting trends in North Carolina and FloridaCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Early voting trends… -
North Carolina Senate race: Roy Cooper leads Trump ally Michael Whatley as Democrats eye key seatWith Republicans defending their 53-47 Senate majority, North Carolina has emerged as a key battleground as former governor Roy Cooper seeks to unseat the Republican hold on the state’s open Senate seat As the United States heads towards… -
Republicans retreat from North Carolina as Trump admits Democrats are likely to win the Senate seatTrump has seemed to concede that Democrat Roy Cooper will win the pivotal race. Down-ballot Republicans are “extremely nervous” for what throwing in the towel means for them. BREAKING: Supreme Court says New Hampshire student IDs can’t be… -
Mail Ballot Rejections Tick Up Under GOP-Backed Rules in North CarolinaOct 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT North Carolina Governor Josh Stein is warning that strict new Republican-backed rules for voting by mail are contributing to an increase in rejected absentee ballots. Stein, a Democrat, said the new rules… -
Tracking the early voting surge in battleground North CarolinaVoter turnout is already high in North Carolina, where a key Senate seat is on the ballot. CNN's Dianne Gallagher explains why the high numbers could mean trouble for Republicans. Discover more videos, including live streams and exclusive… -
‘I’m working like a dog’: Trump rallies in North Carolina against Roy Cooper amid midterm blitzPresident Donald Trump rallied in North Carolina on Tuesday for Senate candidate Michael Whatley, painting Democrat Roy Cooper as soft on crime and expressing hope for GOP chances in the midterms. Cooper, the state’s former governor, and… -
The Senate Race in North Carolina: Our Nation Needs Michael WhatleyEighteen months ago, I had the good fortune of attending a presentation by Michael Whatley, back then the national GOP chair and currently a candidate for the U.S. Senate, running against Democrat Roy Cooper. The evening with Mr. Whatley… -
Hundreds of Mecklenburg County mail-in ballots rejected under new ruleHundreds of Mecklenburg County mail-in ballots were rejected in the first week of early voting because voters didn't properly seal an inner envelope inside another envelope. Mecklenburg County Elections Director Michael Dickerson told WFAE…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions