Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
50.12%median
42%66%
Median 50.12%Middle half 46.96% – 53.24%
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Kent County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
The odds
53%median
46%56%
Median 53%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.16% on Oct 20, 53% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 88% | ▼ 5 | 61¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 1.3K |
| At least 50% | 74% | ▼ 9 | 61¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 400 |
| At least 52% | 61% | ▼ 2 | 62¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 200 |
| At least 54% | 39% | 40¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 233 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kent County, Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan
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WATCH LIVE: Abdul El-Sayed faces reporters as Michigan Senate race heats upThe Democratic Senate nominee addresses reporters after recent intensified political attacks and renewed scrutiny over his alleged ties to the Muslim Brotherhood. WATCH LIVE: Abdul El-Sayed faces reporters as Michigan Senate race heats up… -
Abdul El-Sayed joins city and union leaders at Detroit rallyOctober 26, 2026 / 5:07 PM EDT / CBS Detroit With eight days left until the general election, the battle for Michigan's U.S. Senate seat continues to be one of the most closely watched races. Both candidates were back on the campaign trail… -
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail with Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganDemocratic Senate candidate El-Sayed delivers remarks to supporters at a campaign rally alongside Bernie Sanders in Grand Rapids, Michigan, just days ahead of the critical midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail… -
Abdul El-Sayed takes swipe at Trump ahead of Michigan rallyDemocratic Senate nominee in Michigan Abdul El-Sayed tells reporters on eve of president's rally that Trump will praise tariffs, Iran war and 'big ugly bill' during Michigan visit. Abdul El-Sayed takes swipe at Trump ahead of Michigan… -
Trump intensifies anti-Muslim rhetoric against Abdul El-Sayed at Michigan rally – US politics liveThe US president was condemned for remarks that questioned the senate candidate’s loyalty to the country What are the US midterm elections and why do they matter? Donald Trump intensified his anti-Muslim rhetoric against Michigan Senate… -
On the campaign trail in Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed rides a wave of support for Medicare for AllDays before the midterms, as Americans prepare for historic cuts led by Republicans, the US Senate candidate catches a rising tide of interest in single-payer healthcare Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic US Senate candidate, starts this day… -
Abdul El-Sayed ad is vile, unapologetically Nazi drivel blaming Jews for everything badIf you’ve ever shopped at a normal American supermarket, you’ve probably heard normal Americans having the following normal American conversation: Normal American 1: Should we buy some bananas? Normal American 2: We can’t afford bananas… -
Pro-Abdul El-Sayed ad sparks fury with claim Israel to blame for high grocery prices: ‘Case study in antisemitism’A shocking new ad supporting Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed blames Israel for rising grocery prices, triggering allegations of antisemitism. The spot shows a couple in a grocery store grumbling over the prices of eggs… -
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visitFox News Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visit Michigan Democrat Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed tells Fox News Digital that former President Barack Obama reminds voters of a president… -
Trump attacks Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan campaign stopCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm -
Barack Obama in Detroit says attacks on Abdul El-Sayed’s name and faith echo what he facedCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Barack Obama in… -
President Trump speaks out against Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions