Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
50.12%median
42%66%
Median 50.12%Middle half 46.96% – 53.24%
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Genesee County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
The odds
52.2%median
48%56%
Median 52.2%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.3% on Oct 20, 52.2% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 80% | ▲ 3 | 53¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 410 |
| At least 52% | 52% | ▼ 3 | 53¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 3.7K |
| At least 54% | 32% | 33¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 200 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Genesee County, Abdul El-Sayed, Michigan
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Abdul El-Sayed takes swipe at Trump ahead of Michigan rallyDemocratic Senate nominee in Michigan Abdul El-Sayed tells reporters on eve of president's rally that Trump will praise tariffs, Iran war and 'big ugly bill' during Michigan visit. Abdul El-Sayed takes swipe at Trump ahead of Michigan… -
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail with Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganDemocratic Senate candidate El-Sayed delivers remarks to supporters at a campaign rally alongside Bernie Sanders in Grand Rapids, Michigan, just days ahead of the critical midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail… -
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visitFox News Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visit Michigan Democrat Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed tells Fox News Digital that former President Barack Obama reminds voters of a president… -
Obama seeks to shore up Abdul El-Sayed with Black voters at Michigan rallyFormer President Barack Obama rallied for Michigan’s Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed in Detroit on Saturday as the bitterly fought contest could come down to the city’s substantial Black vote. “We’re clear about the choice in this… -
Trump attacks Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan campaign stopCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm -
Mike Rogers on Trump calling Abdul El-Sayed a terrorist: ‘I've never called him a terrorist’In an exclusive interview with Meet the Press, Michigan Senate candidate and former Rep. Mike Rogers (R) responds to President Trump calling Abdul El-Sayed a “jihadist” and “violent terrorist.” Kornacki: Where Democrats see openings for… -
Barack Obama to rally for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan ahead of key US Senate race – US politics liveThe former Democratic president is showing major support in Detroit for the progressive Michigan candidate in final days before US midterm elections Hundreds of Michiganders have gathered outside Cass Technical High School in Detroit… -
President Trump speaks out against Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm -
WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama rallies with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in DetroitFormer President Barack Obama joins Democratic candidates Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson at a campaign rally in Detroit. WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama rallies with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in Detroit Former President Barack Obama… -
"We're all on the same team": Dem Senator on getting moderate voters behind progressive Senate candidate Abdul El-SayedCNN ‘We’re all on the same team": Dem Senator on getting moderate voters behind progressive Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed CNN's Jessica Dean speaks to Democratic Sen. Elissa Slotkin about the neck-and-neck Senate race in Michigan as… -
Abdul El-Sayed: I have never been a member of the Muslim Brotherhood and never will beMichigan Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed discusses the war in Iran, affordability concerns facing Michigan residents and his campaign ahead of the 2026 midterm elections on ‘Special Report.’ Abdul El-Sayed: I have never been… -
Abdul El-Sayed parlayed his race-obsessed medical research to fast-track, fund journey to Congress: criticsMichigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed turned his weird science into a stepping stone, exploiting identity politics in academia to fast-track and fund his journey to Congress, according to critics and a Post review of his…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions